THERON, DANIEL PETER
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H8WI02121- Internal id
88e8f4eb-09ad-43bb-a800-095935dd3f99- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), WI-02. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 748,550 |
| People | Median age | 37 |
| Income | Median household income | $87,636 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $50,577 |
| Income | In poverty | 10.0% |
| Income | Unemployed | 2.5% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.445 |
| Race | White alone | 80.3% |
| Race | Black alone | 4.2% |
| Race | Asian alone | 4.9% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 7.2% |
| Race | Two or more races | 8.2% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 7.5% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 89.9% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 4.5% |
| Education | High school or higher | 69.5% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 48.4% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 18.8% |
| Household | Family households | 55.8% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.24 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 37.0% |
| Housing | Median home value | $361,200 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,336 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 56.3% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 3.4% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.6% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 4.6% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 4.9% |
| Health | With a disability | 10.0% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 91.9% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 4.2% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 66.7% |
| Commute | Public transit | 2.3% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 18.1% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $0 | $0 | $4,708 | $9,000 | $0 |
| 2024 | $176 | $690 | $4,708 | $9,000 | $1 |
| 2022 | $17,818 | $17,318 | $5,222 | $9,000 | $10,443 |
| 2020 | $47,898 | $46,122 | $4,722 | $2,460 | $35,178 |
| 2018 | $828 | $439 | $2,946 | $9,960 | $0 |
| 2016 | $42,323 | $42,234 | $2,293 | $9,960 | $27,873 |
| 2014 | $28,223 | $26,723 | $2,204 | $0 | $23,683 |
| 2012 | $0 | $185 | $705 | $0 | $0 |
| 2010 | $10,652 | $10,000 | $890 | $0 | $10,559 |
| 2008 | $27,443 | $27,213 | $229 | $0 | $19,610 |
Elections
- 2008 general house Β· WI-2 β running
- 2010 general house Β· WI-2 β running
- 2014 general house Β· WI-2 β lost_general
- 2016 general house Β· WI-2 β lost_general
- 2020 general house Β· WI-2 β lost_general
- 2022 general house Β· WI-2 β lost_general
Committees
- FRIENDS OF PETER THERON β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-06-11 | PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES | 24A | $8 |
| 2021-03-25 | REPUBLICAN PARTY OF WISCONSIN | 24K | $25 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (2)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-06-11 | PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES | contributed_to | $8 | pas2 | |
| 2021-03-25 | REPUBLICAN PARTY OF WISCONSIN | contributed_to | $25 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | FRIENDS OF PETER THERON | β | candidate_committees |