ROTH, TOBY
R Β· house Β· bioguide R000459
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- FEC candidate id
H8WI08011- Internal id
62a61637-7682-4a4f-8360-489d3cb2f6a2- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), WI-08. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 742,398 |
| People | Median age | 41 |
| Income | Median household income | $78,966 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $43,246 |
| Income | In poverty | 8.3% |
| Income | Unemployed | 2.6% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.437 |
| Race | White alone | 84.9% |
| Race | Black alone | 1.5% |
| Race | Asian alone | 2.5% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 6.5% |
| Race | Two or more races | 6.7% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 3.9% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 92.8% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 4.1% |
| Education | High school or higher | 62.3% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 29.7% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 8.9% |
| Household | Family households | 63.6% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.35 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 29.4% |
| Housing | Median home value | $249,300 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $996 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 72.2% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 4.3% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.6% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 12.4% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 6.7% |
| Health | With a disability | 12.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 90.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 6.9% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 77.6% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.3% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 11.7% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | $13,379 | $65,617 | $100,679 | $5,200 | $0 |
| 1998 | $22,002 | $49,365 | $152,915 | $5,200 | $0 |
| 1996 | $233,884 | $152,164 | $180,277 | $5,200 | $70,386 |
| 1994 | $542,621 | $683,149 | $98,553 | $5,212 | $248,113 |
| 1992 | $589,778 | $444,548 | $239,081 | $5,200 | $267,323 |
| 1990 | $390,432 | $499,968 | $93,841 | $9,773 | $146,800 |
| 1988 | $339,852 | $227,823 | $203,375 | $0 | $131,840 |
| 1986 | $297,407 | $284,287 | $91,347 | $0 | $0 |
| 1984 | $255,043 | $220,246 | $78,229 | $0 | $142,741 |
| 1982 | $202,215 | $167,966 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 1980 | $152,011 | $144,225 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Elections
- 1980 general house Β· WI-8 β won
- 1982 general house Β· WI-8 β won
- 1984 general house Β· WI-8 β won
- 1986 general house Β· WI-8 β won
- 1988 general house Β· WI-8 β won
- 1990 general house Β· WI-8 β won
- 1992 general house Β· WI-8 β won
- 1994 general house Β· WI-8 β won
- 1996 general house Β· WI-8 β lost_general
Committees
- TOBY ROTH FOR CONGRESS '96 COMMITTEE β principal Β· type Q
Recent votes
No votes on file.
Sponsored & cosponsored bills
- cosponsor β HR 2858 β Regulatory Fairness Act
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (2)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | cosponsor_of_bill | HR 2858 β Regulatory Fairness Act | β | cosponsor | sponsorship |
| β | principal_candidate_of | TOBY ROTH FOR CONGRESS '96 COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees |