CLINTON, HILLARY RODHAM / TIMOTHY MICHAEL KAINE

D · president

FEC candidate id: P00003392
Internal id: 9e0211d5-62b8-461a-84d2-17d0d01d69fd
Status: open seat

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2022	$0	$301,542	$0	$0	$0
2020	$169,178	$483,110	$301,542	$0	$0
2018	$5,938,098	$5,645,941	$615,474	$0	$0
2016	$585,669,599	$585,346,281	$323,317	$183	$405,664,230
2014	$29,462	$234,295	$0	$0	$3,615
2012	$1,020,536	$1,145,682	$204,833	$0	$624,075
2010	$7,891,632	$9,136,415	$329,979	$404,010	$1,911,453
2008	$252,235,517	$250,660,755	$1,574,762	$5,943,385	$217,735,314

Elections

2008 general president — running
2008 general president — running
2008 general president — running
2008 general president — running
2008 general president — running
2008 general president — running
2008 general president — running
2008 general president — running
2016 general president — running
2016 general president — running
2016 general president — running
2016 general president — running
2016 general president — running
2016 general president — running
2016 general president — running
2016 general president — running
2016 general president — running
2016 general president — running

Committees

FUTURE OF AMERICAN LIVES MATTER — independent · type N
HILLARY CLINTON FOR PRESIDENT — principal · type P
HILLARY CLINTON FOR PRESIDENT 2008 — independent · type U
HILLARY FOR AMERICA — principal · type P
LAUTENBERG CLINTON COMMITTEE — joint_fundraising · type P
NETREP.US — independent · type U
PEOPLE IN COMMAND/PIC — independent · type U
VOTE BOTH — independent · type U
VOTEHILLARY PAC — independent · type U

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 20.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
D (major party)	+10.0%
open seat	-5.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Connected on the graph

Outbound (9)

date	type	to	amount	source
—	independent_committee_of	HILLARY CLINTON FOR PRESIDENT 2008	—	candidate_committees
—	independent_committee_of	PEOPLE IN COMMAND/PIC	—	candidate_committees
—	independent_committee_of	VOTEHILLARY PAC	—	candidate_committees
—	independent_committee_of	VOTE BOTH	—	candidate_committees
—	independent_committee_of	FUTURE OF AMERICAN LIVES MATTER	—	candidate_committees
—	independent_committee_of	NETREP.US	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	LAUTENBERG CLINTON COMMITTEE	—	candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	HILLARY CLINTON FOR PRESIDENT	—	candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	HILLARY FOR AMERICA	—	candidate_committees

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