HATCH, ORRIN GRANT
R Β· president
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- FEC candidate id
P00003806- Internal id
b6184815-6884-4f1c-8407-97d14dadd6fc- Status
- challenger
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $62,750 | $0 |
| 2012 | $0 | $13,174 | $0 | $62,750 | $0 |
| 2010 | $12,750 | $4,671 | $13,176 | $72,750 | $9,750 |
| 2008 | $7,300 | $4,280 | $5,103 | $162,429 | $1,300 |
| 2006 | $57,901 | $61,459 | $2,087 | $252,224 | $51,901 |
| 2004 | $79,749 | $75,910 | $5,649 | $205,380 | $67,749 |
| 2002 | $17,498 | $47,449 | $1,811 | $252,592 | $15,045 |
| 2000 | $2,647,890 | $2,622,995 | $30,225 | $226,071 | $2,163,951 |
Elections
- 2000 general president β running
- 2000 general president β running
- 2000 general president β running
- 2000 general president β running
- 2000 general president β running
- 2000 general president β running
- 2000 general president β running
- 2000 general president β running
- 2000 general president β running
- 2000 general president β running
- 2000 general president β running
- 2000 general president β running
Committees
- ORRIN HATCH PRESIDENTIAL EXPLORATORY COMMITTEE INC β principal Β· type P
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | ORRIN HATCH PRESIDENTIAL EXPLORATORY COMMITTEE INC | β | candidate_committees |