BROWN, HARLEY D
OTHER Β· president
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- FEC candidate id
P00004275- Internal id
b6e1e5c1-a6dc-42eb-992a-99f44ec8d1e9- Status
- open seat
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $12,847 | $11,684 | $1,918 | $0 | $215 |
| 2014 | $9,668 | $8,980 | $755 | $0 | $500 |
Elections
- 2000 general president β running
- 2000 general president β running
- 2000 general president β running
- 2000 general president β running
- 2000 general president β running
- 2016 general president β running
- 2016 general president β running
- 2016 general president β running
- 2016 general president β running
- 2016 general president β running
- 2016 general president β running
- 2016 general president β running
Committees
- HARLEY BROWN FOR PRESIDENT CAMPAIGN COMMITTEE β principal Β· type P
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 10.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | HARLEY BROWN FOR PRESIDENT CAMPAIGN COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees |