GRIFFITH, DAVID OSWALD

R · president

FEC candidate id: P00006239
Internal id: efc8e587-d0d8-49bc-be3b-42e61573b2fe
Status: challenger

Elections

2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running

Committees

BEST GRIFFITH COMMITTEE — principal · type P
GRIFFITH COMMITTEE — principal · type P

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
R (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Connected on the graph

Outbound (3)

date	type	to	amount	source
—	principal_candidate_of	GRIFFITH COMMITTEE	—	candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	BEST GRIFFITH COMMITTEE	—	candidate_committees
2025-05-14	testified_at_hearing	hearing:8b07c511	—	congress-hearing-witness

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