DUKES, RICO CORTEZ
OTHER Β· president
Sign in to add to a watchlist β
- FEC candidate id
P00011163- Internal id
21f02a14-d424-4c76-a025-f7a5a01aa36e- Status
- challenger
Elections
- 2019 general president β running
- 2019 general president β running
- 2019 general president β running
- 2019 general president β running
- 2019 general president β running
- 2019 general president β running
- 2019 general president β running
- 2019 general president β running
- 2019 general president β running
- 2019 general president β running
- 2024 general president Β· 2024-11-05 β running
- 2024 general president Β· 2024-11-05 β lost_general
- 2024 general president β running
- 2024 general president β running
- 2024 general president β running
- 2024 general president β running
- 2024 general president β running
- 2024 general president β running
- 2024 general president β running
- 2024 general president β running
- 2024 general president β running
- 2024 general president β running
- 2024 general president β running
Committees
- THEYFEARTRUTH PRESIDENTIAL COMMITTEE β principal Β· type P
- THEYFEARTRUTH PRESIDENTIAL COMMITTEE β principal Β· type U
- THEYFEARTRUTH PRESIDENTIAL COMMITTEE β independent Β· type U
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 15.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (3)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | independent_committee_of | THEYFEARTRUTH PRESIDENTIAL COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | THEYFEARTRUTH PRESIDENTIAL COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | THEYFEARTRUTH PRESIDENTIAL COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees |