HAGELIN, JOHN SAMUEL

OTHER · president

FEC candidate id: P20001681
Internal id: dd150492-d8c4-43a4-9a3d-ec69dc8744ec
Status: challenger

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2004	$0	$123	$0	$89,013	$0
2002	$21,240	$21,788	$123	$89,113	$665
2000	$2,295,519	$2,294,839	$676	$106,662	$1,129,113
1998	$63	$3,723	$0	$0	$50
1996	$1,363,173	$1,359,510	$3,661	$0	$726,521
1994	$103,323	$133,728	$0	$0	$2,365
1992	$1,182,426	$1,150,934	$30,403	$65,237	$587,711

Elections

1992 general president — running
1992 general president — running
1992 general president — running
1992 general president — running
1992 general president — running
1996 general president — running
1996 general president — running
1996 general president — running
1996 general president — running
1996 general president — running
1996 general president — running
1996 general president — running
2000 general president — running
2000 general president — running
2000 general president — running
2000 general president — running
2000 general president — running
2000 general president — running
2000 general president — running
2000 general president — running

Committees

DR JOHN HAGELIN FOR PRESIDENT 1996 — principal · type P
HAGELIN 2000 — principal · type P
HAGELIN/GOLDHABER — principal · type P

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 15.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Connected on the graph

Outbound (3)

date	type	to	amount	source
—	principal_candidate_of	HAGELIN/GOLDHABER	—	candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	DR JOHN HAGELIN FOR PRESIDENT 1996	—	candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	HAGELIN 2000	—	candidate_committees

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