MCCORMICK, RICHARD S
OTHER Β· president
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- FEC candidate id
P20002515- Internal id
efbe304e-930a-4376-ad84-c2d925f076b0- Status
- challenger
Elections
- 2012 general president β running
- 2012 general president β running
- 2012 general president β running
- 2012 general president β running
- 2012 general president β running
- 2012 general president β running
- 2012 general president β running
- 2012 general president β running
Committees
- KIS PARTY OF WASHINGTON STATE β principal Β· type P
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 15.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-05-26 | AMERICAN ASSOCIATION OF NEUROLOGICAL SURGEONS P⦠| 24K | $5,000 |
| 2022-03-03 | AMERICAN ASSOCIATION OF NEUROLOGICAL SURGEONS P⦠| 24K | $2,500 |
| 2021-09-09 | AMERICAN ASSOCIATION OF NEUROLOGICAL SURGEONS P⦠| 24K | $2,500 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (6)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-05-26 | AMERICAN ASSOCIATION OF NEUROLOGICAL SURGEONS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (NEUROSURGERYPAC) | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $5,000 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2022-05-26 | AMERICAN ASSOCIATION OF NEUROLOGICAL SURGEONS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (NEUROSURGERYPAC) | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-03 | AMERICAN ASSOCIATION OF NEUROLOGICAL SURGEONS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (NEUROSURGERYPAC) | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $2,500 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2022-03-03 | AMERICAN ASSOCIATION OF NEUROLOGICAL SURGEONS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (NEUROSURGERYPAC) | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2021-09-09 | AMERICAN ASSOCIATION OF NEUROLOGICAL SURGEONS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (NEUROSURGERYPAC) | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $2,500 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2021-09-09 | AMERICAN ASSOCIATION OF NEUROLOGICAL SURGEONS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (NEUROSURGERYPAC) | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | KIS PARTY OF WASHINGTON STATE | β | candidate_committees |