PAUL, RAND
R Β· president
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- FEC candidate id
P40003576- Internal id
57291851-0d95-4350-bae9-0af801edb18d- Status
- open seat
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $12,458,992 | $12,452,499 | $6,493 | $271,751 | $10,229,422 |
Elections
- 2016 general president β running
- 2016 general president β running
- 2016 general president β running
- 2016 general president β running
- 2016 general president β running
- 2016 general president β running
- 2016 general president β running
- 2016 general president β running
- 2016 general president β running
- 2016 general president β running
- 2016 general president β running
- 2016 general president β running
- 2016 general president β running
- 2016 general president β running
- 2016 general president β running
Committees
- FREEDOM FOR ALL AMERICANS β principal Β· type Q
- FREEDOM FOR ALL AMERICANS β independent Β· type Q
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (2)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | independent_committee_of | FREEDOM FOR ALL AMERICANS | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | FREEDOM FOR ALL AMERICANS | β | candidate_committees |