MARCELLINI, MARK ROBERT
β Β· president
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- FEC candidate id
P40008716- Internal id
0b4f4b29-6cb3-49ba-9fef-a8f2fec74085- Status
- challenger
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $1,000 | $0 | $1,000 | $0 | $0 |
Elections
- 2024 general president Β· 2024-11-05 β running
- 2024 general president Β· 2024-11-05 β lost_general
- 2024 general president β running
- 2024 general president β running
- 2024 general president β running
- 2024 general president β running
- 2024 general president β running
- 2024 general president β running
- 2024 general president β running
Committees
- PEOPLE''S LIFE NATIONAL COMMITTEE; THE β principal Β· type X
- PEOPLE''S LIFE NATIONAL COMMITTEE; THE β independent Β· type X
- THE PEOPLE'S LIFE NATIONAL COMMITTEE β principal Β· type P
- THE PEOPLE'S LIFE NATIONAL COMMITTEE β independent Β· type P
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 15.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (4)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | independent_committee_of | PEOPLE''S LIFE NATIONAL COMMITTEE; THE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | independent_committee_of | THE PEOPLE'S LIFE NATIONAL COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | PEOPLE''S LIFE NATIONAL COMMITTEE; THE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | THE PEOPLE'S LIFE NATIONAL COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees |