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DORNAN, ROBERT K

R Β· president

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FEC candidate id
P60003308
Internal id
51d8e565-8942-4f8a-806f-5923aad4d0c2
Status
challenger

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2014$0$0$826$0$0
2012$27,000$26,619$827$151,000$0
2010$0$0$446$150,619$0
2008$6,000$15,413$446$151,619$0
2006$60,000$56,651$5,027$156,200$0
2004$0$0$1,678$152,851$0
2002$0$0$1,678$152,851$0
2000$32,013$35,884$1,678$152,851$32,013
1998$60,069$57,063$5,879$177,851$19,370
1996$349,138$346,256$2,875$186,140$299,586

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
R (major party)+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Connected on the graph

Outbound (1)

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β€”principal_candidate_ofDORNAN FOR PRESIDENT INCβ€”candidate_committees

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