RAVEN, WILLIAM NATHANIEL
R Β· president
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- FEC candidate id
P60003456- Internal id
66fdf1c8-aca6-4f39-96c2-c258e8235339- Status
- open seat
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2000 | $1,939 | $1,804 | $74 | $0 | $0 |
| 1998 | $3,457 | $3,405 | $52 | $0 | $2,721 |
| 1996 | $2,980 | $2,136 | $534 | $0 | $2,980 |
Elections
- 1996 general president β running
- 1996 general president β running
- 1996 general president β running
- 1996 general president β running
- 1996 general president β running
- 1996 general president β running
- 1996 general president β running
- 1996 general president β running
- 1996 general president β running
- 2008 general president β running
- 2008 general president β running
- 2008 general president β running
- 2008 general president β running
- 2008 general president β running
- 2008 general president β running
- 2008 general president β running
- 2008 general president β running
- 2008 general president β running
Committees
- DOC RAVEN FOR PRESIDENT IN 2008 β principal Β· type P
- DOC RAVEN FOR U S PRESIDENT β principal Β· type P
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (2)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | DOC RAVEN FOR U S PRESIDENT | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | DOC RAVEN FOR PRESIDENT IN 2008 | β | candidate_committees |