GRAHAM, LINDSEY O

R · president

FEC candidate id: P60007697
Internal id: 4d59c364-331e-4d08-bc54-bec969187ac1
Status: open seat

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2016	$6,010,010	$6,010,010	$0	$0	$3,777,399

Elections

2016 general president — running
2016 general president — running
2016 general president — running
2016 general president — running
2016 general president — running
2016 general president — running
2016 general president — running

Committees

LINDSEY GRAHAM 2016 — principal · type P

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 20.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
R (major party)	+10.0%
open seat	-5.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

Cycle	Support	Oppose	IEs
2026	$2,813,508	$0	61

Recent (latest 25)

Date	Spender	For / against	Amount	Purpose
—	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	support	$980	Digital Advertising
2026-05-12	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	support	$78,262	Digital Advertising
2026-05-07	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	support	$10,000	Grassroots Canvassing
2026-05-05	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	support	$72,526	Digital Advertising
2026-05-01	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	support	$68,000	Digital Advertising
2026-04-28	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	support	$70,286	Digital Advertising
2026-04-21	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	support	$70,100	Digital Advertising
2026-04-20	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	support	$47,000	Digital Advertising
2026-04-17	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	support	$8,799	Text Messaging
2026-04-15	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	support	$114,875	Digital Advertising
2026-04-10	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	support	$75,900	Grassroots Canvassing
2026-04-10	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	support	$10,410	Direct Mail
2026-04-07	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	support	$32,281	Direct Mail
2026-04-07	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	support	$17,155	Direct Mail
2026-04-07	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	support	$28,840	Digital Advertising
2026-04-06	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	support	$10,000	Grassroots Canvassing
2026-04-02	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	support	$75,900	Grassroots Canvassing
2026-04-01	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	support	$71,813	Direct Mail
2026-03-24	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	support	$42,395	Digital Advertising
2026-03-10	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	support	$32,322	Digital Advertising
2026-03-09	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	support	$165,725	Digital Advertising
2026-03-06	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	support	$10,000	Grassroots Canvassing
2026-03-06	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	support	$75,900	Grassroots Canvassing
2026-03-04	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	support	$8,621	Palm Cards
2026-03-04	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	support	$25,052	Direct Mail

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2026-03-24	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	24E	$42,394
2026-03-10	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	24E	$32,322
2026-03-09	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	24E	$165,725
2026-03-06	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	24E	$10,000
2026-03-06	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	24E	$75,900
2026-03-04	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	24E	$8,621
2026-03-04	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	24E	$25,052
2026-02-24	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	24E	$69,576
2026-02-23	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	24E	$9,251
2026-02-20	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	24E	$21,500
2026-02-20	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	24E	$57,060
2026-02-20	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	24E	$31,634
2026-02-20	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	24E	$76,000
2026-02-20	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	24E	$428,000
2026-02-20	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	24E	$199,500
2026-02-20	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	24E	$25,000
2026-02-12	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	24E	$25,052
2026-02-12	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	24E	$31,635
2026-02-10	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	24E	$7,464
2026-02-10	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	24E	$46,275
2026-02-10	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	24E	$57,240
2026-02-10	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	24E	$7,432
2026-02-10	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	24E	$32,237

Connected on the graph

Inbound (84)

date	from	type	amount	source
—	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	supports_independently	$980	fec_ies
2026-05-12	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	supports_independently	$78,262	fec_ies
2026-05-07	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	supports_independently	$10,000	fec_ies
2026-05-05	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	supports_independently	$72,526	fec_ies
2026-05-01	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	supports_independently	$68,000	fec_ies
2026-04-28	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	supports_independently	$70,286	fec_ies
2026-04-21	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	supports_independently	$70,100	fec_ies
2026-04-20	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	supports_independently	$47,000	fec_ies
2026-04-17	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	supports_independently	$8,799	fec_ies
2026-04-15	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	supports_independently	$114,875	fec_ies
2026-04-10	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	supports_independently	$75,900	fec_ies
2026-04-10	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	supports_independently	$10,410	fec_ies
2026-04-07	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	supports_independently	$32,281	fec_ies
2026-04-07	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	supports_independently	$28,840	fec_ies
2026-04-07	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	supports_independently	$17,155	fec_ies
2026-04-06	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	supports_independently	$10,000	fec_ies
2026-04-02	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	supports_independently	$75,900	fec_ies
2026-04-01	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	supports_independently	$71,813	fec_ies
2026-03-24	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	supports_independently	$42,395	fec_ies
2026-03-24	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	contributed_to	$42,394	pas2
2026-03-10	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	contributed_to	$32,322	pas2
2026-03-10	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	supports_independently	$32,322	fec_ies
2026-03-09	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	contributed_to	$165,725	pas2
2026-03-09	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	supports_independently	$165,725	fec_ies
2026-03-06	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	supports_independently	$10,000	fec_ies
2026-03-06	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	supports_independently	$75,900	fec_ies
2026-03-06	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	contributed_to	$75,900	pas2
2026-03-06	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	contributed_to	$10,000	pas2
2026-03-04	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	supports_independently	$25,052	fec_ies
2026-03-04	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	supports_independently	$25,052	fec_ies
2026-03-04	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	supports_independently	$8,621	fec_ies
2026-03-04	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	supports_independently	$8,621	fec_ies
2026-03-04	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	contributed_to	$8,621	pas2
2026-03-04	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	contributed_to	$25,052	pas2
2026-02-24	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	supports_independently	$69,577	fec_ies
2026-02-24	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	contributed_to	$69,576	pas2
2026-02-23	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	contributed_to	$9,251	pas2
2026-02-23	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	supports_independently	$9,251	fec_ies
2026-02-20	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	contributed_to	$25,000	pas2
2026-02-20	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	supports_independently	$21,500	fec_ies
2026-02-20	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	supports_independently	$25,000	fec_ies
2026-02-20	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	supports_independently	$31,635	fec_ies
2026-02-20	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	supports_independently	$57,061	fec_ies
2026-02-20	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	supports_independently	$76,000	fec_ies
2026-02-20	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	supports_independently	$199,500	fec_ies
2026-02-20	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	supports_independently	$428,000	fec_ies
2026-02-20	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	contributed_to	$21,500	pas2
2026-02-20	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	contributed_to	$199,500	pas2
2026-02-20	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	contributed_to	$428,000	pas2
2026-02-20	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	contributed_to	$76,000	pas2
2026-02-20	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	contributed_to	$57,060	pas2
2026-02-20	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	contributed_to	$31,634	pas2
2026-02-12	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	contributed_to	$25,052	pas2
2026-02-12	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	supports_independently	$31,636	fec_ies
2026-02-12	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	supports_independently	$25,052	fec_ies
2026-02-12	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	contributed_to	$31,635	pas2
2026-02-10	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	supports_independently	$7,465	fec_ies
2026-02-10	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	contributed_to	$57,240	pas2
2026-02-10	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	supports_independently	$7,433	fec_ies
2026-02-10	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	supports_independently	$32,238	fec_ies
2026-02-10	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	contributed_to	$7,464	pas2
2026-02-10	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	supports_independently	$46,275	fec_ies
2026-02-10	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	contributed_to	$7,432	pas2
2026-02-10	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	contributed_to	$46,275	pas2
2026-02-10	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	supports_independently	$57,240	fec_ies
2026-02-10	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	contributed_to	$32,237	pas2
2025-11-03	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	supports_independently	$31,350	fec_ies
2025-11-03	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	supports_independently	$31,350	fec_ies
2025-09-26	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	supports_independently	$26,026	fec_ies
2025-09-26	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	supports_independently	$26,026	fec_ies
2025-09-15	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	supports_independently	$29,658	fec_ies
2025-09-15	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	supports_independently	$10,800	fec_ies
2025-08-12	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	supports_independently	$980	fec_ies
2025-08-11	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	supports_independently	$2,800	fec_ies
2025-08-11	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	supports_independently	$2,799	fec_ies
2025-07-16	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	supports_independently	$1,250	fec_ies
2025-07-16	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	supports_independently	$1,250	fec_ies
2025-07-14	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	supports_independently	$1,250	fec_ies
2025-07-14	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	supports_independently	$1,246	fec_ies
2025-07-14	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	supports_independently	$1,246	fec_ies
2025-03-31	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	supports_independently	$205,000	fec_ies
2025-03-27	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	supports_independently	$4,300	fec_ies
2025-03-27	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	supports_independently	$18,000	fec_ies
2025-03-27	SECURITY IS STRENGTH PAC	supports_independently	$36,500	fec_ies

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	LINDSEY GRAHAM 2016	—		candidate_committees

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