CHAFEE, LINCOLN DAVENPORT MR.

L · president

FEC candidate id: P60008075
Internal id: 9fa66b9c-2303-4613-8304-431bb9096f18
Status: challenger

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2022	$0	$22,932	$0	$0	$0
2020	$84,687	$61,755	$22,932	$0	$4,209
2016	$418,136	$418,164	$-28	$363,694	$45,292

Elections

2016 general president — running
2016 general president — running
2016 general president — running
2016 general president — running
2016 general president — running
2016 general president — running
2016 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running

Committees

CHAFEE 2016 — principal · type P
LINCOLN CHAFEE FOR PRESIDENT — principal · type P

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 15.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Connected on the graph

Outbound (2)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	CHAFEE 2016	—		candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	LINCOLN CHAFEE FOR PRESIDENT	—		candidate_committees

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