ZRNIK, DANA R

OTHER · president

FEC candidate id: P60024486
Internal id: aa5c6e03-85cb-46ca-aff3-a53c17281251
Status: challenger

Elections

2026 general president — running
2026 general president — running
2026 general president — running
2026 general president — running
2026 general president — running
2026 general president — running
2026 general president — running
2026 general president — running
2026 general president — running
2026 general president — running

Committees

No committees on file.

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 15.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

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