ABRAM, ALFRED JR
D Β· president
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- FEC candidate id
P80000219- Internal id
09c510f2-5162-41f1-b96f-2c7310bbd8d2- Status
- challenger
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1988 | $250 | $20,195 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Elections
- 1988 general president β running
- 1988 general president β running
- 1988 general president β running
- 1990 general president β running
- 1990 general president β running
- 1990 general president β running
- 1990 general president β running
- 1990 general president β running
- 1990 general president β running
Committees
No committees on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.