BRADLEY, BILL

D · president

FEC candidate id: P80000516
Internal id: 4601003d-9a0a-4ce1-a415-716725fcbe50
Status: challenger

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2006	$0	$5,029	$0	$0	$0
2004	$3,679	$26,767	$5,029	$0	$0
2002	$128,777	$875,863	$28,117	$22,875	$0
2000	$51,156,171	$50,421,409	$775,203	$108,067	$29,565,261

Elections

1988 general president — running
1988 general president — running
1988 general president — running
1988 general president — running
2000 general president — running
2000 general president — running
2000 general president — running
2000 general president — running
2000 general president — running
2000 general president — running
2000 general president — running
2000 general president — running

Committees

BILL BRADLEY FOR PRESIDENT INC — principal · type P
ELECT DEMOCRATIC DELEGATES — independent · type D
REFORM PARTY DRAFT BILL BRADLEY FOR PRESIDENT COMMITTEE 2000 — independent · type U

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
D (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Connected on the graph

Outbound (3)

date	type	to	amount	source
—	independent_committee_of	REFORM PARTY DRAFT BILL BRADLEY FOR PRESIDENT COMMITTEE 2000	—	candidate_committees
—	independent_committee_of	ELECT DEMOCRATIC DELEGATES	—	candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	BILL BRADLEY FOR PRESIDENT INC	—	candidate_committees

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