GEPHARDT, RICHARD A

D · president

FEC candidate id: P80000581
Internal id: e5cac5d5-1a9d-4689-8cdf-558401bed7fc
Status: challenger

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2008	$15,961	$448,011	$13,503	$4,954	$0
2006	$45,731	$199,716	$445,552	$0	$0
2004	$21,691,136	$21,091,599	$599,537	$0	$14,308,289
2000	$0	$0	$0	$0	$0
1998	$0	$0	$0	$0	$0
1996	$151,000	$150,998	$0	$0	$70,000
1994	$3,324	$3,488	$0	$0	$0
1992	$131,948	$139,560	$167	$0	$10,250
1990	$859,936	$862,486	$7,779	$0	$84,946
1988	$13,203,415	$13,237,917	$0	$0	$6,714,427
1986	$91,676	$46,845	$0	$0	$239,243

Elections

1988 general president — running
1988 general president — running
1988 general president — running
1988 general president — running
1988 general president — running
1988 general president — running
1988 general president — running
1988 general president — running
1988 general president — running
1988 general president — running
2004 general president — running
2004 general president — running
2004 general president — running
2004 general president — running
2004 general president — running
2004 general president — running
2004 general president — running
2004 general president — running
2004 general president — running
2004 general president — running

Committees

GEPHARDT FOR PRESIDENT COMMITTEE INC — principal · type P
GEPHARDT FOR PRESIDENT, INC. — principal · type P

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
D (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Connected on the graph

Outbound (2)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	GEPHARDT FOR PRESIDENT COMMITTEE INC	—		candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	GEPHARDT FOR PRESIDENT COMMITTEE INC	—		candidate_committees

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