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PAUL, RON

R Β· president

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FEC candidate id
P80000748
Internal id
3adf024c-6b78-434c-8e18-95c94ea04a4e
Status
challenger

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2022$0$0$0$0$0
2020$0$0$0$0$0
2018$729$31,955$0$0$0
2016$1,757$358,053$31,225$0$0
2014$3,453$707,859$387,522$0$0
2012$41,060,318$39,968,390$1,091,927$0$39,926,060
2010$3,756$526,979$55,744$0$0
2008$35,121,860$34,542,893$578,967$0$34,639,435
1990$41,091$38,442$0$0$6,904
1988$1,585,884$1,588,061$0$0$842,217

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
R (major party)+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Connected on the graph

Outbound (22)

datetypetoamountrolesource
β€”independent_committee_ofCITIZENS FOR SMALLER GOVERNMENTβ€”candidate_committees
β€”independent_committee_ofAMERICANS UNITED FOR FREEDOM (AUF) PACβ€”candidate_committees
β€”independent_committee_ofTEXAS FREEDOM FORCE PACβ€”candidate_committees
β€”independent_committee_ofOPERATION LIVE FREE OR DIE PACβ€”candidate_committees
β€”independent_committee_ofFRIENDS OF RON PAUL FOR PRESIDENTβ€”candidate_committees
β€”independent_committee_ofHOOSIERS FOR R.PAUL 2008β€”candidate_committees
β€”independent_committee_ofTENNESSEANS FOR HONEST POLITICIANSβ€”candidate_committees
β€”independent_committee_ofCENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA LIBERTY PACβ€”candidate_committees
β€”independent_committee_ofAMERICANS UNITED FOR LIBERTYβ€”candidate_committees
β€”independent_committee_ofTENNESSEANS FOR A CONSTITUTIONAL GOVERNMENTβ€”candidate_committees
β€”independent_committee_ofOKLAHOMA CONSERVATIVES VALUES DELEGATESβ€”candidate_committees
β€”independent_committee_ofDELCO FOR LIBERTYβ€”candidate_committees
β€”independent_committee_ofNH FOR THE WINβ€”candidate_committees
β€”independent_committee_ofAMERICAN LIBERTY COALITION; THEβ€”candidate_committees
β€”independent_committee_ofDELEGATES FOR RON PAUL FOR VICE PRESIDENTβ€”candidate_committees
β€”independent_committee_ofCENTER FOR CONSTITUTIONAL RESTORATIONβ€”candidate_committees
β€”independent_committee_ofALABAMA PEACE PROSPERITY AND FREEDOM COMMITTEE; THEβ€”candidate_committees
β€”independent_committee_ofIDAHOANS FOR LIBERTYβ€”candidate_committees
β€”independent_committee_ofGEORGIANS FOR LIBERTY PACβ€”candidate_committees
β€”independent_committee_ofTEXAS LIBERTY FUNDβ€”candidate_committees
β€”principal_candidate_ofRON PAUL 2012 PRESIDENTIAL CAMPAIGN COMMITTEE INC.β€”candidate_committees
β€”principal_candidate_ofRON PAUL 2008 PRESIDENTIAL CAMPAIGN COMMITTEEβ€”candidate_committees

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