FABISH, THOMAS S

R · president

FEC candidate id: P80000870
Internal id: c7f3a1ab-2087-4ac0-8ef1-f647781b73ae
Status: challenger

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2002	$248	$248	$0	$0	$0
2000	$163	$163	$0	$0	$0
1998	$0	$0	$0	$0	$0
1996	$0	$103	$0	$0	$0
1994	$0	$2	$103	$0	$0
1992	$4,650	$4,643	$105	$0	$0
1990	$4,200	$4,136	$102	$0	$0
1988	$12,928	$12,886	$0	$0	$158,382

Elections

1988 general president — running
1988 general president — running
1988 general president — running
1988 general president — running
1988 general president — running
1992 general president — running
1992 general president — running
1992 general president — running
1992 general president — running
1996 general president — running
1996 general president — running
1996 general president — running
1996 general president — running
1996 general president — running
1996 general president — running
2000 general president — running
2000 general president — running
2000 general president — running
2000 general president — running
2000 general president — running
2004 general president — running
2004 general president — running
2004 general president — running
2004 general president — running
2004 general president — running
2004 general president — running

Committees

FABISH CAMPAIGN COMMITTEE — principal · type P

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
R (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Connected on the graph

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	FABISH CAMPAIGN COMMITTEE	—		candidate_committees

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