BLYTH, JOHN DOUGLAS
D Β· president
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- FEC candidate id
P80003114- Internal id
992d8fe1-176d-4b84-88cd-d42479e0ad47- Status
- challenger
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 | $109,987 | $123,973 | $0 | $0 | $1 |
| 2010 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2008 | $48,219 | $15,600 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Elections
- 2008 general president β running
- 2008 general president β running
- 2008 general president β running
- 2008 general president β running
- 2008 general president β running
- 2008 general president β running
- 2012 general president β running
- 2012 general president β running
- 2012 general president β running
- 2012 general president β running
- 2012 general president β running
- 2012 general president β running
- 2012 general president β running
- 2016 general president β running
- 2016 general president β running
- 2016 general president β running
- 2016 general president β running
- 2016 general president β running
- 2016 general president β running
- 2016 general president β running
- 2016 general president β running
- 2020 general president β running
- 2020 general president β running
- 2020 general president β running
- 2020 general president β running
- 2020 general president β running
- 2020 general president β running
- 2020 general president β running
- 2020 general president β running
- 2020 general president β running
- 2020 general president β running
- 2020 general president β running
- 2020 general president β running
Committees
- BLYTH AMERICA β principal Β· type P
- BLYTH AMERICA JOHN BLYTH FOR PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES β principal Β· type P
- BLYTH AMERICA JOHN BLYTH FOR PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES 2016 β principal Β· type P
- JOHN BLYTH FOR PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES 2012 β principal Β· type P
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (4)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | BLYTH AMERICA | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | BLYTH AMERICA JOHN BLYTH FOR PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | JOHN BLYTH FOR PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES 2012 | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | BLYTH AMERICA JOHN BLYTH FOR PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES 2016 | β | candidate_committees |