SAVIOR, OLE'

R · president

FEC candidate id: P80003239
Internal id: 667c0b92-667c-4dda-a379-4d7582c6bab4

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2012	$5,380	$6,380	$100	$0	$2,180

Elections

2008 general president — running
2008 general president — running
2008 general president — running
2008 general president — running
2008 general president — running
2012 general president — running
2012 general president — running
2012 general president — running
2012 general president — running
2012 general president — running
2012 general president — running
2012 general president — running
2016 general president — running
2016 general president — running
2016 general president — running
2016 general president — running
2016 general president — running
2016 general president — running

Committees

OLE SAVIOR U.S. PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE 2016 REPUBLICAN PARTY GOP — principal · type P
OLE' SAVIOR/O SAVIOR US PRESIDENT CANDIDATE 2020 DEMOCRAT — principal · type P
SAVIOR PRESIDENTIAL COMMITTEE (USA) 2012 — principal · type P
SAVIOR US SENATE MN 2008 (DFL) — principal · type S

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
R (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Connected on the graph

Outbound (4)

date	type	to	amount	source
—	principal_candidate_of	SAVIOR US SENATE MN 2008 (DFL)	—	candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	OLE' SAVIOR/O SAVIOR US PRESIDENT CANDIDATE 2020 DEMOCRAT	—	candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	OLE SAVIOR U.S. PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE 2016 REPUBLICAN PARTY GOP	—	candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	SAVIOR PRESIDENTIAL COMMITTEE (USA) 2012	—	candidate_committees

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