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ROMNEY, MITT / PAUL D. RYAN

R Β· president

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FEC candidate id
P80003353
Internal id
4309960d-497b-47f4-a174-d800010dae4a
Status
challenger

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2020$178,709$218,461$0$0$0
2018$443,120$1,919,416$39,752$0$0
2016$2,763,797$3,278,695$1,516,048$0$0
2014$5,788,654$4,140,983$2,030,946$0$-41,638
2012$483,452,332$483,073,479$383,275$825,749$303,822,811
2010$190,565$218,731$4,422$250,000$206
2008$113,659,805$113,627,217$32,588$250,000$64,731,238

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
R (major party)+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Connected on the graph

Outbound (11)

datetypetoamountrolesource
β€”independent_committee_ofCOMMITTEE TO ELECT DELEGATES TNβ€”candidate_committees
β€”independent_committee_ofROMNEY DELEGATE COMMITTEEβ€”candidate_committees
β€”independent_committee_ofALABAMA DELEGATE COMMITTEEβ€”candidate_committees
β€”independent_committee_ofSTUDENT FOR MITT ROMNEYβ€”candidate_committees
β€”independent_committee_ofMICHIGAN JEWISH CITIZENS FOR A STRONGER AMERICAβ€”candidate_committees
β€”independent_committee_ofROMNEY'S DOG HOUSEβ€”candidate_committees
β€”independent_committee_ofMINNESOTANS FOR MITT'S MONEYβ€”candidate_committees
β€”independent_committee_ofPUTNAM COUNTY NY VETERANS FOR ROMNEYβ€”candidate_committees
β€”independent_committee_ofTHE COMMITTEE TO ELECT DELEGATESβ€”candidate_committees
β€”joint_fundraising_committee_ofROMNEY VICTORY, INC.β€”candidate_committees
β€”principal_candidate_ofROMNEY FOR PRESIDENT, INC.β€”candidate_committees

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