BILLINGS-ELIAS, CHRISTINA GERASIMOS

D · president

FEC candidate id: P80004120
Internal id: abff3570-c822-463e-8911-9b0cacd77232
Status: challenger

Elections

2008 general president — running
2008 general president — running
2008 general president — running
2008 general president — running
2008 general president — running
2008 general president — running
2008 general president — running
2008 general president — running
2016 general president — running
2016 general president — running
2016 general president — running
2016 general president — running
2016 general president — running
2016 general president — running
2016 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running

Committees

CHRISTINA GERASIMOS BILLINGS-ELIAS — principal · type P
CHRISTINA GERASIMOS BILLINGS-ELIAS COMMITTEE FOR PRESIDENT 2012 — principal · type P
CHRISTINA GERASIMOS BILLINGS-ELIAS COMMITTEE FOR PRESIDENT 2016 — principal · type P

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
D (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Connected on the graph

Outbound (3)

date	type	to	amount	source
—	principal_candidate_of	CHRISTINA GERASIMOS BILLINGS-ELIAS COMMITTEE FOR PRESIDENT 2012	—	candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	CHRISTINA GERASIMOS BILLINGS-ELIAS	—	candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	CHRISTINA GERASIMOS BILLINGS-ELIAS COMMITTEE FOR PRESIDENT 2016	—	candidate_committees

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