LYNCH, FRANK

R · president

FEC candidate id: P80004567
Internal id: 0ee3545e-7945-4b0a-8f20-4057ec7f8d1c
Status: open seat

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2016	$20,310	$20,580	$0	$0	$0
2012	$6,000	$5,999	$0	$0	$0
2008	$5,150	$5,149	$0	$0	$5,150

Elections

2008 general president — running
2008 general president — running
2008 general president — running
2008 general president — running
2008 general president — running
2012 general president — running
2012 general president — running
2012 general president — running
2012 general president — running
2012 general president — running
2012 general president — running
2012 general president — running
2016 general president — running
2016 general president — running
2016 general president — running
2016 general president — running
2016 general president — running
2016 general president — running
2016 general president — running

Committees

FRANK LYNCH 2008 INC — principal · type P
FRANK LYNCH 2012 INC — principal · type P
FRANK LYNCH 2016 INC — principal · type P

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 20.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
R (major party)	+10.0%
open seat	-5.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Connected on the graph

Outbound (3)

date	type	to	amount	source
—	principal_candidate_of	FRANK LYNCH 2008 INC	—	candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	FRANK LYNCH 2016 INC	—	candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	FRANK LYNCH 2012 INC	—	candidate_committees

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