LA RIVA, GLORIA ESTELA

OTHER · president

FEC candidate id: P80005572
Internal id: 61131154-1ce3-469c-b718-5f9d95a3052a
Status: challenger

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2020	$43,674	$39,726	$73	$0	$38,421
2016	$31,408	$32,611	$0	$0	$31,408
2010	$0	$19	$0	$0	$0
2008	$24,441	$24,731	$19	$0	$24,410

Elections

2008 general president — running
2008 general president — running
2008 general president — running
2008 general president — running
2008 general president — running
2008 general president — running
2012 general president — running
2012 general president — running
2012 general president — running
2012 general president — running
2012 general president — running
2012 general president — running
2012 general president — running
2016 general president — running
2016 general president — running
2016 general president — running
2016 general president — running
2016 general president — running
2016 general president — running
2016 general president — running
2016 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running

Committees

GLORIA LA RIVA FOR PRESIDENT 2020 — principal · type P
LA RIVA FOR PRESIDENT 2016 SOCIALISM AND LIBERATION CAMPAIGN — principal · type P
SOCIALISM AND LIBERATION CAMPAIGN COMMITTEE — principal · type P

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 15.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Connected on the graph

Outbound (3)

date	type	to	amount	source
—	principal_candidate_of	SOCIALISM AND LIBERATION CAMPAIGN COMMITTEE	—	candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	GLORIA LA RIVA FOR PRESIDENT 2020	—	candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	LA RIVA FOR PRESIDENT 2016 SOCIALISM AND LIBERATION CAMPAIGN	—	candidate_committees

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