PRYOR, MARK LUNSFORD

D · senate · bioguide P000590

FEC candidate id: S0AR00028
Internal id: 67cbd173-db6b-4383-83e5-fcd9ffa34e2a
Status: challenger

Who this candidate represents (statewide)

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Arkansas. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	3,049,391
People	Median age	39
Income	Median household income	$60,773
Income	Per-capita income	$34,225
Income	In poverty	16.0%
Income	Unemployed	4.9%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.479
Race	White alone	69.2%
Race	Black alone	14.7%
Race	Asian alone	1.6%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	9.0%
Race	Two or more races	10.3%
Origin	Foreign-born	5.4%
Language	Speaks English only at home	91.7%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	6.1%
Education	High school or higher	59.8%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	25.7%
Education	Advanced degree	9.5%
Household	Family households	64.6%
Household	Avg household size	2.46
Household	Never married (15+)	29.8%
Housing	Median home value	$188,000
Housing	Median gross rent	$947
Housing	Single-family detached	70.0%
Housing	Built before 1940	3.2%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	2.7%
Housing	Vacant units	13.5%
Service	Veterans (18+)	7.4%
Health	With a disability	18.0%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	86.7%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	10.5%
Commute	Drove alone	78.9%
Commute	Public transit	0.3%
Commute	Worked from home	8.8%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2016	$15,212	$150,688	$0	$0	$0
2014	$11,616,728	$13,215,385	$135,479	$0	$8,000,604
2012	$629,950	$748,603	$1,734,136	$0	$128,694
2010	$281,670	$614,766	$1,852,791	$0	$83,575
2008	$4,998,992	$3,284,632	$2,185,888	$0	$2,786,096
2006	$811,246	$377,598	$471,531	$0	$285,474
2004	$133,450	$137,759	$37,883	$0	$37,595
2002	$4,456,340	$4,414,148	$42,192	$0	$3,355,873

Elections

2002 general senate · AR-S — won
2002 general senate · AR-S — won
2002 general senate · AR-S — won
2008 general senate · AR-S — won
2008 general senate · AR-S — won
2008 general senate · AR-S — won
2014 general senate · AR-S — lost_general
2014 general senate · AR-S — lost_general
2014 general senate · AR-S — lost_general
2014 general senate · AR-S — won
2014 general senate · AR-S — won
2014 general senate · AR-S — lost_general

Committees

ALASKA-ARKANSAS SENATE VICTORY FUND — joint_fundraising · type S
ARKANSAS NORTH CAROLINA LOUISIANA VICTORY FUND — joint_fundraising · type S
ARKANSAS SENATE 2002 — joint_fundraising · type X
ARKANSAS SENATE 2008 — joint_fundraising · type N
ARKANSAS SENATE VICTORY FUND — joint_fundraising · type N
ARKANSAS-NORTH CAROLINA VICTORY FUND — joint_fundraising · type S
ARKANSAS-TEXAS VICTORY FUND — joint_fundraising · type S
DASCHLE VICTORY FUND — joint_fundraising · type S
GRASSROOTS VICTORY PROJECT 2014 — joint_fundraising · type N
JUSTICE 2014 — joint_fundraising · type S
LOUISIANA ARKANSAS VICTORY FUND — joint_fundraising · type S
LOUISIANA-ARKANSAS VICTORY FUND 2008 — joint_fundraising · type S
MARK PRYOR FOR US SENATE — principal · type S
RETIRE PRYOR — independent · type U
SAVE OUR SENATE MAJORITY — joint_fundraising · type Q
SENATE MAJORITY 2002 — joint_fundraising · type X
SENATE VICTORY FUND 2014 — joint_fundraising · type S
TEXANS FOR AN ENERGY FUTURE — joint_fundraising · type S

Recent votes

No votes on file.

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 23.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
D (major party)	+10.0%
senate race	-2.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Connected on the graph

Outbound (18)

date	type	to	amount	source
—	independent_committee_of	RETIRE PRYOR	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	SAVE OUR SENATE MAJORITY	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	ARKANSAS SENATE VICTORY FUND	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	SENATE MAJORITY 2002	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	LOUISIANA-ARKANSAS VICTORY FUND 2008	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	DASCHLE VICTORY FUND	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	LOUISIANA ARKANSAS VICTORY FUND	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	ARKANSAS-NORTH CAROLINA VICTORY FUND	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	ARKANSAS SENATE 2002	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	ARKANSAS NORTH CAROLINA LOUISIANA VICTORY FUND	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	ARKANSAS SENATE 2008	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	GRASSROOTS VICTORY PROJECT 2014	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	ARKANSAS-TEXAS VICTORY FUND	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	JUSTICE 2014	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	TEXANS FOR AN ENERGY FUTURE	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	ALASKA-ARKANSAS SENATE VICTORY FUND	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	SENATE VICTORY 2014	—	candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	MARK PRYOR FOR US SENATE	—	candidate_committees

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