KELLY, MARK
D · senate · currently seated · bioguide K000377
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- FEC candidate id
S0AZ00350- Internal id
8626521f-64a1-4c3f-ad83-2fed60b28944- Status
- incumbent
Who this candidate represents (statewide)
Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Arizona. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 7,378,838 |
| People | Median age | 39 |
| Income | Median household income | $79,964 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $42,503 |
| Income | In poverty | 12.5% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.1% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.464 |
| Race | White alone | 59.0% |
| Race | Black alone | 4.6% |
| Race | Asian alone | 3.6% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 31.4% |
| Race | Two or more races | 19.5% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 13.0% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 74.3% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 19.3% |
| Education | High school or higher | 56.8% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 33.3% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 13.0% |
| Household | Family households | 64.3% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.53 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 34.1% |
| Housing | Median home value | $394,500 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,543 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 64.2% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 1.5% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 4.3% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 10.6% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.9% |
| Health | With a disability | 13.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 91.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 6.0% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 66.8% |
| Commute | Public transit | 1.1% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 18.4% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $35,276,812 | $17,370,707 | $22,308,538 | $0 | $35,013,142 |
| 2024 | $10,864,654 | $7,920,096 | $4,402,434 | $0 | $10,653,810 |
| 2022 | $92,771,344 | $92,715,992 | $1,457,875 | $0 | $86,182,200 |
| 2020 | $101,106,584 | $99,704,060 | $1,402,523 | $0 | $98,233,235 |
Elections
- 2020 general senate · AZ-S — running
- 2020 general senate · AZ-S — won
- 2020 general senate · AZ-S — running
- 2020 general senate · AZ-S — running
- 2020 general senate · AZ-S — running
- 2020 general senate · AZ-S — running
- 2020 general senate · AZ-S — won
- 2020 general senate · AZ-S — won
- 2020 general senate · AZ-S — running
- 2020 general senate · AZ-S — won
- 2022 general senate · AZ-S — won
- 2022 general senate · AZ-S — won
- 2022 general senate · AZ-S — won
- 2022 general senate · AZ-S — won
- 2022 general senate · AZ-S — running
- 2022 general senate · AZ-S — won
- 2022 general senate · AZ-S — running
- 2022 general senate · AZ-S — running
- 2022 general senate · AZ-S — running
- 2022 general senate · AZ-S — running
- 2028 general senate · AZ-S — running
- 2028 general senate · AZ-S — running
- 2028 general senate · AZ-S — running
- 2028 general senate · AZ-S — running
- 2028 general senate · AZ-S — running
- 2028 general senate · AZ-S — running
- 2028 general senate · AZ-S — running
Committees
- MARK KELLY FOR SENATE — principal · type S
Recent votes
- 2026-05-14 · Cong. 119 · senate roll 124
NAY on Cloture Motion Agreed to (51-46) - 2026-05-13 · Cong. 119 · senate roll 123
YEA on SJRES 130 — A joint resolution providing for congressional disapproval under chapter 8 of title 5, United States Code, of the rule submitted by the Bureau of Consumer Financial Protection relating to withdrawal of the rule relating to "Consumer Financial Protection Circular 2024-05: Improper Overdraft Opt-In Practices". - 2026-05-13 · Cong. 119 · senate roll 122
YEA on SJRES 141 — A joint resolution providing for congressional disapproval under chapter 8 of title 5, United States Code, of the rule submitted by Bureau of Consumer Financial Protection relating to the withdrawal of the rule relating to "Debt Collection Practices (Regulation F); Deceptive and Unfair Collection of Medical Debt". - 2026-05-13 · Cong. 119 · senate roll 121
YEA on SJRES 132 — A joint resolution providing for congressional disapproval under chapter 8 of title 5, United States Code, of the rule submitted by the Bureau of Consumer Financial Protection relating to the withdrawal of the rule relating to "Examinations for Risks to Active-Duty Servicemembers and Their Covered Dependents". - 2026-05-13 · Cong. 119 · senate roll 120
NAY on Nomination Confirmed (54-45) - 2026-05-13 · Cong. 119 · senate roll 119
YEA on SRES 526 — A resolution withholding the pay of Senators if a Government shutdown occurs. - 2026-05-13 · Cong. 119 · senate roll 118
YEA on SJRES 163 — A joint resolution to direct the removal of United States Armed Forces from hostilities within or against the Islamic Republic of Iran that have not been authorized by Congress. - 2026-05-12 · Cong. 119 · senate roll 117
NAY on Cloture Motion Agreed to (51-45) - 2026-05-12 · Cong. 119 · senate roll 116
NAY on Nomination Confirmed (51-45) - 2026-05-11 · Cong. 119 · senate roll 115
NAY on Cloture Motion Agreed to (49-44)
Sponsored & cosponsored bills
- sponsor · 2026-04-30 — S 4478 — Federal Worker Credit Protection Act of 2026
- sponsor · 2026-04-15 — S 4297 — Keep Public Funds in Public Schools Act
- sponsor · 2026-04-13 — SJRES 161 — A joint resolution to direct the removal of United States Armed Forces from hostilities within or against the Islamic Republic of Iran that have not been authorized by Congress.
- sponsor · 2026-04-13 — S 4278 — PEACE Act
- sponsor · 2026-03-26 — SRES 662 — A resolution honoring the life and service of United States Marine Corps veteran Nicholas Douglas Quets, expressing condolences to his family, and condemning cartel violence.
- sponsor · 2026-03-26 — S 4273 — Nicholas Douglas Quets Border Travel Safety Act
- sponsor · 2026-03-26 — S 4270 — Nicholas Douglas Quets United States-Mexico Rapid Response for Victims of Crime Act
- sponsor · 2026-03-26 — S 4266 — Cost-of-living Emergency Act
- sponsor · 2026-03-17 — S 4120 — Community Water Project Acceleration Act
- sponsor · 2026-03-09 — S 4032 — Gas Prices Relief Act of 2026
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 99.0%
| Feature | Δ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| incumbent | +78.0% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
| senate race | -2.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $52,000 | $0 | 2 |
| 2024 | $11,202 | $0 | 3 |
| 2022 | $23,090,378 | $42,045,586 | 1,249 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | PIVOT VICTORY FUND | support | $210 | Text Banking |
| — | JDCA PAC | support | $10,492 | Digital Advertising |
| — | WOMEN SPEAK OUT PAC | oppose | $125 | Mileage (Estimate) |
| — | WOMEN SPEAK OUT PAC | oppose | $1,750 | Canvassing (Estimate) |
| — | WOMEN SPEAK OUT PAC | oppose | $2,500 | Mileage (Estimate) |
| — | WOMEN SPEAK OUT PAC | oppose | $37,500 | Canvassing (Estimate) |
| — | WOMEN SPEAK OUT PAC | oppose | $750 | Mileage (Estimate) |
| — | WOMEN SPEAK OUT PAC | oppose | $10,000 | Canvassing (Estimate) |
| — | WOMEN SPEAK OUT PAC | oppose | $1,000 | Mileage (Estimate) |
| — | WOMEN SPEAK OUT PAC | oppose | $15,000 | Canvassing (Estimate) |
| — | WOMEN SPEAK OUT PAC | oppose | $450 | Mileage (Estimate) |
| — | WOMEN SPEAK OUT PAC | oppose | $5,500 | Canvassing (Estimate) |
| — | VOTEVETS | support | $1,482 | Digital Communications - Estimated Cost |
| — | VOTEVETS | support | $2,568 | Digital Communications - Estimated Cost |
| — | VOTEVETS | support | $2,145 | Digital Communications - Estimated Cost |
| — | UNIDOSUS ACTION PAC | support | $1,667 | Digital Ad Production and Buy - Estimate |
| — | THE LINCOLN PROJECT | support | $10,000 | Digital Ad Buy |
| — | THE LINCOLN PROJECT | support | $12,925 | Ad Production |
| — | SOMOS PAC | support | $75,000 | Canvassing -Estimate |
| — | SOMOS PAC | support | $738 | Direct Mail - Estimate |
| — | SOMOS PAC | support | $81,250 | Canvassing - Estimate |
| — | SOMOS PAC | support | $32,325 | Canvassing - Estimate |
| — | SOMOS PAC | support | $129,299 | Canvassing - Estimate |
| — | SOMOS PAC | support | $25,125 | Printing - Estimate |
| — | SOMOS PAC | support | $81,250 | Canvassing - Estimate |
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | FRONTIERS OF FREEDOM ACTION, INC. | 24A | $39,000 |
| — | FRONTIERS OF FREEDOM ACTION, INC. | 24A | $2,000 |
| — | PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES | 24E | $461 |
| — | PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES | 24E | $461 |
| — | PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES | 24E | $3,432 |
| — | PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES | 24E | $18,988 |
| — | PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES | 24E | $8,848 |
| — | WOMEN SPEAK OUT PAC | 24A | $3,500 |
| — | WOMEN SPEAK OUT PAC | 24A | $300 |
| — | LCV VICTORY FUND | 24E | $1,138 |
| — | GUN RIGHTS AMERICA | 24A | $1,500 |
| — | GUN RIGHTS AMERICA | 24A | $500 |
| — | GUN RIGHTS AMERICA | 24A | $4,000 |
| — | GUN RIGHTS AMERICA | 24A | $339 |
| — | NEXTGEN CLIMATE ACTION COMMITTEE | 24E | $1,331 |
| — | NEXTGEN CLIMATE ACTION COMMITTEE | 24E | $9,964 |
| — | COMMUNITY CHANGE VOTERS | 24E | $163 |
| — | END CITIZENS UNITED | 24E | $11,393 |
| — | PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES | 24E | $461 |
| — | VOTEVETS | 24E | $2,568 |
| — | LET AMERICA VOTE PAC | 24E | $72 |
| — | LET AMERICA VOTE PAC | 24E | $21 |
| — | LET AMERICA VOTE PAC | 24E | $1,098 |
| — | LET AMERICA VOTE PAC | 24E | $180 |
| — | POWER ON PAC | 24E | $35,008 |
Top individual donors (2026 cycle)
Via this candidate's principal committee MARK KELLY FOR SENATE.
Aggregated from FEC Schedule A by donor (name + city + state). Employer + occupation reflect the donor's most recent gift. Source: FEC indiv bulk.
| Donor | Employer / occupation | City, ST | Gifts | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOBIAS, ANDREW | SELF EMPLOYED · WRITER | NEW YORK, NY | 3 | $7,000 |
| DODSON, DONNA H. | SELF EMPLOYED · INVESTOR | SANTA FE, NM | 2 | $3,000 |
| BRIDGES, SAMUEL RUTT | UNDERSTANDING DISRUPTION, INC. · OWNER | GREENWOOD VILLAGE, CO | 1 | $1,000 |
| SMITH, BRIAN | NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED | IRVINGTON, NY | 1 | $1,000 |
| ZECH, MARCIA W | NOT EMPLOYED · HOMEMAKER | MERCER ISLAND, WA | 1 | $1,000 |
| GERBER, DONALD S. | NOT EMPLOYED · RETIRED | PRESCOTT, AZ | 1 | $1,000 |
| BROSTEN, CARL | NETJETS · PILOT | MONCLOVA, OH | 1 | $1,000 |
| MARTINO, MELINDA | NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED | MOBILE, AL | 1 | $1,000 |
| SCHUMACHER, MAURA | NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED | NAPLES, FL | 1 | $1,000 |
| DURANT, NEAL | GEOSYNTEC CONSULTANTS · CONSULTING ENGINEER | COLUMBIA, MD | 1 | $1,000 |
| WELCH, LINDEN | NOT EMPLOYED · RETIRED | HUNTINGTOWN, MD | 2 | $1,000 |
| WILCOX, HARRY | FLAGSHIP PIONEERING · PARTNER | NANTUCKET, MA | 2 | $1,000 |
| GRIER, JON | NOT EMPLOYED · RETIRED | SAN ANSELMO, CA | 1 | $1,000 |
| JOHNSEN, SCOTT | SELF EMPLOYED · MANAGER | SCOTTSDALE, AZ | 1 | $1,000 |
| MARMON, JONATHAN | NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED | PHILADELPHIA, PA | 1 | $1,000 |
| MATTHEWS, CATHERINE M. | NOT EMPLOYED · RETIRED | PHOENIX, AZ | 1 | $1,000 |
| BELL, CAROL | NOT EMPLOYED · RETIRED | BAINBRIDGE ISLAND, WA | 1 | $1,000 |
| ROLLINS, RUTH MAGNESS | NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED | ATLANTA, GA | 1 | $1,000 |
| FOND, MIRIAM | SELF EMPLOYED · EDUCATOR | NEW YORK, NY | 1 | $875 |
| MCCAIGUE, ELIZABETH | NOT EMPLOYED · RETIRED | GLENDALE, AZ | 1 | $565 |
| NAKAOKI, PATRICIA | NOT EMPLOYED · RETIRED | BOISE, ID | 1 | $560 |
| BALE, SHARON K | NOT EMPLOYED · RETIRED | TUCSON, AZ | 1 | $500 |
| GRIFFIN, DON | NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED | HOUSTON, TX | 1 | $500 |
| HECK, GARY | NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED | ZIONSVILLE, IN | 1 | $500 |
| COHAN, WILLIAM | NOT EMPLOYED · RETIRED | POWAY, CA | 1 | $500 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (100)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-18 | 50f57547 | clip_about | — | clip | |
| — | END CITIZENS UNITED | contributed_to | $831 | pas2 | |
| — | END CITIZENS UNITED | contributed_to | $258 | pas2 | |
| — | END CITIZENS UNITED | contributed_to | $31 | pas2 | |
| — | END CITIZENS UNITED | contributed_to | $7 | pas2 | |
| — | END CITIZENS UNITED | contributed_to | $341 | pas2 | |
| — | LCV VICTORY FUND | contributed_to | $251 | pas2 | |
| — | LET AMERICA VOTE PAC | contributed_to | $72 | pas2 | |
| — | LET AMERICA VOTE PAC | contributed_to | $1,098 | pas2 | |
| — | LET AMERICA VOTE PAC | contributed_to | $180 | pas2 | |
| — | LET AMERICA VOTE PAC | contributed_to | $21 | pas2 | |
| — | END CITIZENS UNITED | contributed_to | $11,393 | pas2 | |
| — | WOMEN SPEAK OUT PAC | contributed_to | $300 | pas2 | |
| — | WOMEN SPEAK OUT PAC | contributed_to | $3,500 | pas2 | |
| — | PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES | contributed_to | $461 | pas2 | |
| — | PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES | contributed_to | $3,432 | pas2 | |
| — | PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES | contributed_to | $8,848 | pas2 | |
| — | PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES | contributed_to | $461 | pas2 | |
| — | PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES | contributed_to | $18,988 | pas2 | |
| — | PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES | contributed_to | $461 | pas2 | |
| — | LCV VICTORY FUND | contributed_to | $1,138 | pas2 | |
| — | NEXTGEN CLIMATE ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $9,964 | pas2 | |
| — | NEXTGEN CLIMATE ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $1,331 | pas2 | |
| — | GUN RIGHTS AMERICA | contributed_to | $500 | pas2 | |
| — | GUN RIGHTS AMERICA | contributed_to | $339 | pas2 | |
| — | GUN RIGHTS AMERICA | contributed_to | $1,500 | pas2 | |
| — | GUN RIGHTS AMERICA | contributed_to | $4,000 | pas2 | |
| — | END CITIZENS UNITED | contributed_to | $351 | pas2 | |
| — | COMMUNITY CHANGE VOTERS | contributed_to | $163 | pas2 | |
| — | RED SENATE | contributed_to | $230 | pas2 | |
| — | INDIVISIBLE ACTION | contributed_to | $2,837 | pas2 | |
| — | LCV VICTORY FUND | contributed_to | $16,657 | pas2 | |
| — | LET AMERICA VOTE PAC | contributed_to | $686 | pas2 | |
| — | END CITIZENS UNITED | contributed_to | $101 | pas2 | |
| — | INDIVISIBLE ACTION | contributed_to | $38 | pas2 | |
| — | LET AMERICA VOTE PAC | contributed_to | $1,001 | pas2 | |
| — | LET AMERICA VOTE PAC | contributed_to | $409 | pas2 | |
| — | LET AMERICA VOTE PAC | contributed_to | $734 | pas2 | |
| — | END CITIZENS UNITED | contributed_to | $2,933 | pas2 | |
| — | END CITIZENS UNITED | contributed_to | $18 | pas2 | |
| — | LET AMERICA VOTE PAC | contributed_to | $533 | pas2 | |
| — | FRONTIERS OF FREEDOM ACTION, INC. | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| — | FRONTIERS OF FREEDOM ACTION, INC. | contributed_to | $39,000 | pas2 | |
| — | PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES | contributed_to | $300 | pas2 | |
| — | PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES | contributed_to | $461 | pas2 | |
| — | PIVOT VICTORY FUND | contributed_to | $23 | pas2 | |
| — | PIVOT VICTORY FUND | contributed_to | $209 | pas2 | |
| — | END CITIZENS UNITED | contributed_to | $884 | pas2 | |
| — | INDIVISIBLE ACTION | contributed_to | $7,500 | pas2 | |
| — | LET AMERICA VOTE PAC | contributed_to | $120 | pas2 | |
| — | INDIVISIBLE ACTION | contributed_to | $165 | pas2 | |
| — | INDIVISIBLE ACTION | contributed_to | $2,400 | pas2 | |
| — | INDIVISIBLE ACTION | contributed_to | $3,833 | pas2 | |
| — | LET AMERICA VOTE PAC | contributed_to | $141 | pas2 | |
| — | FEDUP POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE AKA FEDUP PAC | contributed_to | $224 | pas2 | |
| — | VOTEVETS | contributed_to | $2,568 | pas2 | |
| — | GUN RIGHTS AMERICA | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| — | GUN RIGHTS AMERICA | contributed_to | $300 | pas2 | |
| — | GUN RIGHTS AMERICA | contributed_to | $105 | pas2 | |
| — | VOTEVETS | contributed_to | $1,482 | pas2 | |
| — | POWER ON PAC | contributed_to | $35,008 | pas2 | |
| — | POWER ON PAC | contributed_to | $35,008 | pas2 | |
| — | BLUE BATTLEGROUND PROJECT | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| — | DEMOCRATIC FUTURE PAC | contributed_to | $500 | pas2 | |
| — | PIVOT VICTORY FUND | supports_independently | $210 | fec_ies | |
| — | JDCA PAC | supports_independently | $10,492 | fec_ies | |
| — | WOMEN SPEAK OUT PAC | opposes_independently | $125 | fec_ies | |
| — | WOMEN SPEAK OUT PAC | opposes_independently | $37,500 | fec_ies | |
| — | WOMEN SPEAK OUT PAC | opposes_independently | $750 | fec_ies | |
| — | WOMEN SPEAK OUT PAC | opposes_independently | $1,750 | fec_ies | |
| — | WOMEN SPEAK OUT PAC | opposes_independently | $10,000 | fec_ies | |
| — | WOMEN SPEAK OUT PAC | opposes_independently | $15,000 | fec_ies | |
| — | WOMEN SPEAK OUT PAC | opposes_independently | $1,000 | fec_ies | |
| — | WOMEN SPEAK OUT PAC | opposes_independently | $450 | fec_ies | |
| — | WOMEN SPEAK OUT PAC | opposes_independently | $5,500 | fec_ies | |
| — | WOMEN SPEAK OUT PAC | opposes_independently | $2,500 | fec_ies | |
| — | VOTEVETS | supports_independently | $1,482 | fec_ies | |
| — | VOTEVETS | supports_independently | $2,568 | fec_ies | |
| — | VOTEVETS | supports_independently | $2,145 | fec_ies | |
| — | UNIDOSUS ACTION FUND, INC. | supports_independently | $1,667 | fec_ies | |
| — | THE LINCOLN PROJECT | supports_independently | $12,925 | fec_ies | |
| — | THE LINCOLN PROJECT | supports_independently | $10,000 | fec_ies | |
| — | SOMOS PAC | supports_independently | $75,000 | fec_ies | |
| — | SOMOS PAC | supports_independently | $738 | fec_ies | |
| — | SOMOS PAC | supports_independently | $81,250 | fec_ies | |
| — | SOMOS PAC | supports_independently | $148,580 | fec_ies | |
| — | SOMOS PAC | supports_independently | $32,325 | fec_ies | |
| — | SOMOS PAC | supports_independently | $909 | fec_ies | |
| — | SOMOS PAC | supports_independently | $303 | fec_ies | |
| — | SOMOS PAC | supports_independently | $25,000 | fec_ies | |
| — | SOMOS PAC | supports_independently | $272,913 | fec_ies | |
| — | SOMOS PAC | supports_independently | $425,000 | fec_ies | |
| — | SOMOS PAC | supports_independently | $50,000 | fec_ies | |
| — | SOMOS PAC | supports_independently | $155,859 | fec_ies | |
| — | SOMOS PAC | supports_independently | $100,000 | fec_ies | |
| — | SOMOS PAC | supports_independently | $9,039 | fec_ies | |
| — | SOMOS PAC | supports_independently | $75,259 | fec_ies | |
| — | SOMOS PAC | supports_independently | $25,125 | fec_ies | |
| — | SOMOS PAC | supports_independently | $129,299 | fec_ies | |
| — | SOMOS PAC | supports_independently | $81,250 | fec_ies |