BULLOCK, STEVE
D Β· senate
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- FEC candidate id
S0MT00173- Internal id
2aeb0505-86bc-4915-9155-300547b43f34- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents (statewide)
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Montana. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 1,116,875 |
| People | Median age | 40 |
| Income | Median household income | $72,509 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $41,711 |
| Income | In poverty | 11.5% |
| Income | Unemployed | 3.6% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.465 |
| Race | White alone | 85.0% |
| Race | Black alone | 0.5% |
| Race | Asian alone | 0.8% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 4.6% |
| Race | Two or more races | 6.8% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 2.3% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 95.8% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 1.4% |
| Education | High school or higher | 62.7% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 35.2% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 12.0% |
| Household | Family households | 60.3% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.37 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 30.2% |
| Housing | Median home value | $375,800 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,081 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 68.8% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 4.5% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.8% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 13.2% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 9.0% |
| Health | With a disability | 14.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 89.4% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 7.7% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 71.1% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.6% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 12.5% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $49,522,120 | $48,572,770 | $949,350 | $0 | $46,205,011 |
Elections
- 2020 general senate Β· MT-S β running
- 2020 general senate Β· MT-S β lost_general
- 2020 general senate Β· MT-S β running
- 2020 general senate Β· MT-S β lost_general
- 2020 general senate Β· MT-S β lost_general
- 2020 general senate Β· MT-S β lost_general
- 2020 general senate Β· MT-S β running
- 2020 general senate Β· MT-S β running
- 2020 general senate Β· MT-S β running
- 2020 general senate Β· MT-S β running
- 2020 general senate Β· MT-S β lost_general
Committees
- BIG SKY VALUES β principal Β· type V
- BIG SKY VALUES β independent Β· type V
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 23.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
| senate race | -2.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-06-11 | PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES | 24E | $8 |
| 2021-05-13 | INTERNATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF FIREFIGHTERS INTER⦠| 24E | $1,482 |
| 2021-03-10 | PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES | 24E | $1,950 |
| 2021-02-03 | INTERNATIONAL BROTHERHOOD OF TEAMSTERS | 24F | $690 |
Top individual donors (2026 cycle)
Via this candidate's principal committee BIG SKY VALUES.
Aggregated from FEC Schedule A by donor (name + city + state). Employer + occupation reflect the donor's most recent gift. Source: FEC indiv bulk.
Connected on the graph
Inbound (8)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-06-11 | PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES | contributed_to | $8 | pas2 | |
| 2021-06-11 | PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $8 | 24E | fec_pas2 |
| 2021-05-13 | INTERNATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF FIREFIGHTERS INTERESTED IN REGISTRATION AND EDUCATION PAC | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $1,482 | 24E | fec_pas2 |
| 2021-05-13 | INTERNATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF FIREFIGHTERS INTERESTED IN REGISTRATION AND EDUCATION PAC | contributed_to | $1,482 | pas2 | |
| 2021-03-10 | PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES | contributed_to | $1,950 | pas2 | |
| 2021-03-10 | PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $1,950 | 24E | fec_pas2 |
| 2021-02-03 | INTERNATIONAL BROTHERHOOD OF TEAMSTERS | contributed_to | $690 | pas2 | |
| 2021-02-03 | INTERNATIONAL BROTHERHOOD OF TEAMSTERS | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $690 | 24F | fec_pas2 |
Outbound (2)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | independent_committee_of | BIG SKY VALUES | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | BIG SKY VALUES | β | candidate_committees |