DARDEN, DUSTIN
OTHER Β· senate
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- FEC candidate id
S2AK00143- Internal id
ba7edda6-702b-4956-a9a8-1a751cbc3e98- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents (statewide)
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Alaska. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 735,706 |
| People | Median age | 36 |
| Income | Median household income | $92,788 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $46,573 |
| Income | In poverty | 10.1% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.5% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.433 |
| Race | White alone | 59.6% |
| Race | Black alone | 3.0% |
| Race | Asian alone | 6.5% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 7.3% |
| Race | Two or more races | 13.6% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 7.7% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 84.9% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 3.3% |
| Education | High school or higher | 60.5% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 31.7% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 11.8% |
| Household | Family households | 63.9% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.61 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 34.4% |
| Housing | Median home value | $352,900 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,419 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 63.2% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 1.5% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 5.7% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 17.6% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 10.8% |
| Health | With a disability | 13.6% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 91.9% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 5.8% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 65.0% |
| Commute | Public transit | 1.0% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 9.8% |
Elections
- 2022 general senate Β· AK-S β lost_general
- 2022 general senate Β· AK-S β lost_general
- 2022 general senate Β· AK-S β lost_general
- 2022 general senate Β· AK-S β lost_general
- 2022 general senate Β· AK-S β lost_general
Committees
No committees on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 13.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| senate race | -2.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.