CHESBRO, PATRICIA

D · senate

FEC candidate id: S2AK00226
Internal id: 7a88431a-dec5-499f-ae04-252707cd5ae6
Status: challenger

Who this candidate represents (statewide)

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Alaska. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	735,706
People	Median age	36
Income	Median household income	$92,788
Income	Per-capita income	$46,573
Income	In poverty	10.1%
Income	Unemployed	5.5%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.433
Race	White alone	59.6%
Race	Black alone	3.0%
Race	Asian alone	6.5%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	7.3%
Race	Two or more races	13.6%
Origin	Foreign-born	7.7%
Language	Speaks English only at home	84.9%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	3.3%
Education	High school or higher	60.5%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	31.7%
Education	Advanced degree	11.8%
Household	Family households	63.9%
Household	Avg household size	2.61
Household	Never married (15+)	34.4%
Housing	Median home value	$352,900
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,419
Housing	Single-family detached	63.2%
Housing	Built before 1940	1.5%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	5.7%
Housing	Vacant units	17.6%
Service	Veterans (18+)	10.8%
Health	With a disability	13.6%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	91.9%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	5.8%
Commute	Drove alone	65.0%
Commute	Public transit	1.0%
Commute	Worked from home	9.8%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2024	$7	$7,637	$0	$0	$0
2022	$188,577	$180,947	$7,630	$0	$178,486

Elections

2022 general senate · AK-S — lost_general
2022 general senate · AK-S — running
2022 general senate · AK-S — lost_general
2022 general senate · AK-S — lost_general
2022 general senate · AK-S — lost_general
2022 general senate · AK-S — lost_general

Committees

CHESBRO FOR ALASKA — principal · type S

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 23.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
D (major party)	+10.0%
senate race	-2.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

Cycle	Support	Oppose	IEs
2022	$0	$4,942	1

Recent (latest 25)

Date	Spender	For / against	Amount	Purpose
2022-10-25	NATIONAL RIGHT TO LIFE VICTORY FUND	oppose	$4,942	IE-Chesbro-Direct Mail

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2022-10-25	NATIONAL RIGHT TO LIFE VICTORY FUND	24A	$4,941
2022-10-12	ALASKA MARCH ON	24Z	$569
2022-10-12	ALASKA MARCH ON	24Z	$17
2022-10-12	ALASKA MARCH ON	24Z	$316
2022-05-23	ALASKA DEMOCRATIC PARTY	24K	$5,000

Connected on the graph

Inbound (6)

date	from	type	amount	source
2022-10-25	NATIONAL RIGHT TO LIFE VICTORY FUND	opposes_independently	$4,942	fec_ies
2022-10-25	NATIONAL RIGHT TO LIFE VICTORY FUND	contributed_to	$4,941	pas2
2022-10-12	ALASKA MARCH ON	contributed_to	$569	pas2
2022-10-12	ALASKA MARCH ON	contributed_to	$17	pas2
2022-10-12	ALASKA MARCH ON	contributed_to	$316	pas2
2022-05-23	ALASKA DEMOCRATIC PARTY	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	CHESBRO FOR ALASKA	—		candidate_committees

pac.dog is a free, independent, non-partisan research tool. Every candidate, committee, bill, vote, member, and nonprofit on this site is mirrored from primary U.S. government sources (FEC, congress.gov, govinfo.gov, IRS) and each state's Secretary of State / election commission — no third-party data vendors, no paywall, no editorial intermediation. Citations to the originating source are on every detail page.