BLANCHARD, LYNDA
R Β· senate
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- FEC candidate id
S2AL00137- Internal id
08c4a806-8ebf-4e6d-9f4b-6c494e5d19cc- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents (statewide)
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Alabama. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 5,086,768 |
| People | Median age | 39 |
| Income | Median household income | $63,999 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $36,087 |
| Income | In poverty | 15.6% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.7% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.479 |
| Race | White alone | 64.6% |
| Race | Black alone | 25.8% |
| Race | Asian alone | 1.5% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 5.6% |
| Race | Two or more races | 5.3% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 4.0% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 94.0% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 3.9% |
| Education | High school or higher | 58.7% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 28.4% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 11.1% |
| Household | Family households | 64.5% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.48 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 31.9% |
| Housing | Median home value | $209,900 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,007 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 69.1% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 3.5% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.7% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 14.6% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.7% |
| Health | With a disability | 16.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 87.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 9.8% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 80.6% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.3% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 8.8% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $6,663,585 | $6,663,585 | $0 | $0 | $493,693 |
Elections
- 2022 general senate Β· AL-S β lost_general
- 2022 general senate Β· AL-S β lost_general
- 2022 general senate Β· AL-S β lost_general
- 2022 general senate Β· AL-S β lost_general
- 2022 general senate Β· AL-S β lost_general
Committees
- LYNDA BLANCHARD FOR SENATE, INC. β principal Β· type S
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 18.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
| senate race | -2.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-07-09 | WINRED | 24K | $-15 |
| 2021-03-11 | JUSTICE OPPORTUNITY STRENGTH HONOR PAC (JOSHPAC) | 24K | $5,000 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (2)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-07-09 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-15 | pas2 | |
| 2021-03-11 | JUSTICE OPPORTUNITY STRENGTH HONOR PAC (JOSHPAC) | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | LYNDA BLANCHARD FOR SENATE, INC. | β | candidate_committees |