MEUSER, MARK

R · senate

FEC candidate id: S2CA01060
Internal id: 3f40456b-2c5b-4ddb-8155-7e6c8150d092
Status: challenger

Who this candidate represents (statewide)

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), California. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	39,287,377
People	Median age	38
Income	Median household income	$99,122
Income	Per-capita income	$49,513
Income	In poverty	12.0%
Income	Unemployed	6.5%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.489
Race	White alone	39.7%
Race	Black alone	5.4%
Race	Asian alone	15.5%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	40.2%
Race	Two or more races	19.2%
Origin	Foreign-born	27.0%
Language	Speaks English only at home	55.6%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	28.3%
Education	High school or higher	57.5%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	37.1%
Education	Advanced degree	14.4%
Household	Family households	67.8%
Household	Avg household size	2.84
Household	Never married (15+)	38.2%
Housing	Median home value	$734,700
Housing	Median gross rent	$2,036
Housing	Single-family detached	57.0%
Housing	Built before 1940	5.4%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	8.2%
Housing	Vacant units	7.5%
Service	Veterans (18+)	4.3%
Health	With a disability	11.6%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	93.5%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	4.6%
Commute	Drove alone	65.7%
Commute	Public transit	2.9%
Commute	Worked from home	17.2%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2024	$14,640	$34,803	$0	$0	$319
2022	$1,052,437	$1,032,274	$20,163	$30,081	$1,037,039

Elections

2022 general senate · CA-S — lost_general
2022 general senate · CA-S — running
2022 general senate · CA-S — lost_general
2022 general senate · CA-S — lost_general
2022 general senate · CA-S — lost_general
2022 general senate · CA-S — lost_general

Committees

MARK MEUSER FOR U.S. SENATE — principal · type S

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 23.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
R (major party)	+10.0%
senate race	-2.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2022-12-29	WINRED	24K	$-21
2022-12-19	WINRED	24K	$-25
2022-12-05	WINRED	24K	$-10
2022-12-04	WINRED	24K	$-25
2022-12-04	WINRED	24K	$-10
2022-12-03	WINRED	24K	$-25
2022-11-23	WINRED	24K	$-25
2022-11-19	WINRED	24K	$-30
2022-11-17	WINRED	24K	$-4
2022-11-15	WINRED	24K	$-25
2022-11-09	WINRED	24K	$-20
2022-11-06	WINRED	24K	$-50
2022-11-01	WINRED	24K	$-25
2022-11-01	WINRED	24K	$-25
2022-10-27	WINRED	24K	$-25
2022-10-27	SHASTA COUNTY REPUBLICAN CENTRAL COMMITTEE (FED…	24K	$1,000
2022-10-26	HUCK PAC FOR AMERICA	24K	$5,000
2022-10-21	SUTTER COUNTY REPUBLICAN CENTRAL COMMITTEE (FED…	24K	$363
2022-10-04	WINRED	24K	$-25
2022-10-03	MARIN COUNTY REPUBLICAN CENTRAL COMMITTEE (FEDE…	24Z	$384
2022-10-03	STANISLAUS REPUBLICAN CENTRAL COMMITTEE (FED)	24K	$455
2022-10-01	WINRED	24K	$-5,800
2022-09-30	WINRED	24K	$-1
2022-09-30	WINRED	24K	$-25
2022-08-14	WINRED	24K	$-5

Connected on the graph

Inbound (33)

date	from	type	amount	source
2022-12-29	WINRED	contributed_to	$-21	pas2
2022-12-19	WINRED	contributed_to	$-25	pas2
2022-12-05	WINRED	contributed_to	$-10	pas2
2022-12-04	WINRED	contributed_to	$-10	pas2
2022-12-04	WINRED	contributed_to	$-25	pas2
2022-12-03	WINRED	contributed_to	$-25	pas2
2022-11-23	WINRED	contributed_to	$-25	pas2
2022-11-19	WINRED	contributed_to	$-30	pas2
2022-11-17	WINRED	contributed_to	$-4	pas2
2022-11-15	WINRED	contributed_to	$-25	pas2
2022-11-09	WINRED	contributed_to	$-20	pas2
2022-11-06	WINRED	contributed_to	$-50	pas2
2022-11-01	WINRED	contributed_to	$-25	pas2
2022-11-01	WINRED	contributed_to	$-25	pas2
2022-10-27	WINRED	contributed_to	$-25	pas2
2022-10-27	SHASTA COUNTY REPUBLICAN CENTRAL COMMITTEE (FEDERAL ACCOUNT)	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-26	HUCK PAC FOR AMERICA	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-10-21	SUTTER COUNTY REPUBLICAN CENTRAL COMMITTEE (FED. ACCT.)	contributed_to	$363	pas2
2022-10-04	WINRED	contributed_to	$-25	pas2
2022-10-03	MARIN COUNTY REPUBLICAN CENTRAL COMMITTEE (FEDERAL)	contributed_to	$384	pas2
2022-10-03	STANISLAUS REPUBLICAN CENTRAL COMMITTEE (FED)	contributed_to	$455	pas2
2022-10-01	WINRED	contributed_to	$-5,800	pas2
2022-09-30	WINRED	contributed_to	$-25	pas2
2022-09-30	WINRED	contributed_to	$-1	pas2
2022-08-14	WINRED	contributed_to	$-5	pas2
2022-08-01	WINRED	contributed_to	$-25	pas2
2022-05-31	PLACER COUNTY REPUBLICAN CENTRAL COMMITTEE (FED)	contributed_to	$33	pas2
2022-05-16	PLACER COUNTY REPUBLICAN CENTRAL COMMITTEE (FED)	contributed_to	$25	pas2
2022-05-16	PLACER COUNTY REPUBLICAN CENTRAL COMMITTEE (FED)	contributed_to	$172	pas2
2022-05-02	PLACER COUNTY REPUBLICAN CENTRAL COMMITTEE (FED)	contributed_to	$395	pas2
2022-05-02	PLACER COUNTY REPUBLICAN CENTRAL COMMITTEE (FED)	contributed_to	$175	pas2
2022-02-10	AMERICAN MATTERS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,900	pas2
2021-08-31	FREEDOM AND PROSPERITY PAC	contributed_to	$100	pas2

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	MARK MEUSER FOR U.S. SENATE	—		candidate_committees

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