CAMPANA, GINO

R · senate

FEC candidate id: S2CO00225
Internal id: 585fa420-18aa-4a60-879a-1bca6587452f
Status: challenger

Who this candidate represents (statewide)

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Colorado. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	5,862,189
People	Median age	38
Income	Median household income	$95,470
Income	Per-capita income	$52,636
Income	In poverty	9.4%
Income	Unemployed	4.6%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.459
Race	White alone	70.5%
Race	Black alone	4.0%
Race	Asian alone	3.3%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	22.5%
Race	Two or more races	14.9%
Origin	Foreign-born	9.8%
Language	Speaks English only at home	83.8%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	11.1%
Education	High school or higher	65.4%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	45.7%
Education	Advanced degree	17.6%
Household	Family households	61.7%
Household	Avg household size	2.42
Household	Never married (15+)	33.1%
Housing	Median home value	$539,400
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,761
Housing	Single-family detached	61.4%
Housing	Built before 1940	2.3%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	2.4%
Housing	Vacant units	8.3%
Service	Veterans (18+)	7.5%
Health	With a disability	11.4%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	93.5%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	4.2%
Commute	Drove alone	65.1%
Commute	Public transit	1.6%
Commute	Worked from home	21.0%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2022	$999,336	$999,336	$0	$0	$469,990

Elections

2022 general senate · CO-S — lost_general
2022 general senate · CO-S — lost_general
2022 general senate · CO-S — lost_general
2022 general senate · CO-S — lost_general
2022 general senate · CO-S — lost_general

Committees

GINO FOR SENATE — principal · type S

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 23.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
R (major party)	+10.0%
senate race	-2.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2022-07-08	WINRED	24K	$-150
2022-07-08	WINRED	24K	$-150
2022-05-10	WINRED	24K	$-25
2022-05-10	WINRED	24K	$-50
2022-04-26	WINRED	24K	$-2,900
2022-04-26	WINRED	24K	$-2,900
2022-04-26	WINRED	24K	$-500
2022-04-26	WINRED	24K	$-2,100
2022-04-26	WINRED	24K	$-2,900
2022-04-26	WINRED	24K	$-2,900
2022-04-26	WINRED	24K	$-2,900
2022-04-26	WINRED	24K	$-2,900
2022-04-26	WINRED	24K	$-2,900
2022-04-26	WINRED	24K	$-2,900
2022-04-26	WINRED	24K	$-2,900
2022-04-26	WINRED	24K	$-2,900
2022-04-26	WINRED	24K	$-5,800
2022-04-26	WINRED	24K	$-2,900
2022-04-26	WINRED	24K	$-2,900
2022-04-26	WINRED	24K	$-2,900
2022-04-26	WINRED	24K	$-725
2022-04-26	WINRED	24K	$-2,900
2022-04-26	WINRED	24K	$-2,900
2022-04-26	WINRED	24K	$-2,900
2022-04-26	WINRED	24K	$-2,900

Connected on the graph

Inbound (43)

date	from	type	amount	source
2022-07-08	WINRED	contributed_to	$-150	pas2
2022-07-08	WINRED	contributed_to	$-150	pas2
2022-05-10	WINRED	contributed_to	$-25	pas2
2022-05-10	WINRED	contributed_to	$-50	pas2
2022-04-26	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2,900	pas2
2022-04-26	WINRED	contributed_to	$-50	pas2
2022-04-26	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2,900	pas2
2022-04-26	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2,900	pas2
2022-04-26	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2,900	pas2
2022-04-26	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2,900	pas2
2022-04-26	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2,900	pas2
2022-04-26	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2,900	pas2
2022-04-26	WINRED	contributed_to	$-500	pas2
2022-04-26	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2,900	pas2
2022-04-26	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2,900	pas2
2022-04-26	WINRED	contributed_to	$-5,800	pas2
2022-04-26	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2,900	pas2
2022-04-26	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2,900	pas2
2022-04-26	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2,900	pas2
2022-04-26	WINRED	contributed_to	$-4,200	pas2
2022-04-26	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2,900	pas2
2022-04-26	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2,900	pas2
2022-04-26	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2,900	pas2
2022-04-26	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2,900	pas2
2022-04-26	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2,900	pas2
2022-04-26	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2,900	pas2
2022-04-26	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2,100	pas2
2022-04-26	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2,900	pas2
2022-04-26	WINRED	contributed_to	$-1,000	pas2
2022-04-26	WINRED	contributed_to	$-600	pas2
2022-04-26	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2,900	pas2
2022-04-26	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2,900	pas2
2022-04-26	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2,900	pas2
2022-04-26	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2,900	pas2
2022-04-26	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2,900	pas2
2022-04-26	WINRED	contributed_to	$-725	pas2
2022-04-26	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2,900	pas2
2022-04-19	WINRED	contributed_to	$-5,800	pas2
2022-02-08	WOODWARD, INC. FOR EFFECTIVE GOVERNMENT	contributed_to	$2,900	pas2
2021-11-30	WINRED	contributed_to	$-100	pas2
2021-11-27	WINRED	contributed_to	$-10	pas2
2021-11-22	WINRED	contributed_to	$-250	pas2
2021-10-22	WINRED	contributed_to	$-5,800	pas2

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	GINO FOR SENATE	—		candidate_committees

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