RUTLEDGE, JOHN CARLETON
OTHER Β· senate
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- FEC candidate id
S2CO00365- Internal id
b427ea3f-a78e-45cd-93e8-e2cdb11d5a97- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents (statewide)
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Colorado. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 5,862,189 |
| People | Median age | 38 |
| Income | Median household income | $95,470 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $52,636 |
| Income | In poverty | 9.4% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.6% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.459 |
| Race | White alone | 70.5% |
| Race | Black alone | 4.0% |
| Race | Asian alone | 3.3% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 22.5% |
| Race | Two or more races | 14.9% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 9.8% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 83.8% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 11.1% |
| Education | High school or higher | 65.4% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 45.7% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 17.6% |
| Household | Family households | 61.7% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.42 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 33.1% |
| Housing | Median home value | $539,400 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,761 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 61.4% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 2.3% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.4% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 8.3% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.5% |
| Health | With a disability | 11.4% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 93.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 4.2% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 65.1% |
| Commute | Public transit | 1.6% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 21.0% |
Elections
- 2022 general senate Β· CO-S β lost_general
- 2022 general senate Β· CO-S β lost_general
- 2022 general senate Β· CO-S β lost_general
- 2022 general senate Β· CO-S β lost_general
- 2022 general senate Β· CO-S β lost_general
Committees
No committees on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 8.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
| senate race | -2.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.