BLACK, GARY

R · senate

FEC candidate id: S2GA00209
Internal id: ccaa263d-a37a-4be6-a664-47d565e8b20a
Status: challenger

Who this candidate represents (statewide)

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Georgia. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	10,940,407
People	Median age	38
Income	Median household income	$77,353
Income	Per-capita income	$40,924
Income	In poverty	13.4%
Income	Unemployed	5.1%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.477
Race	White alone	51.0%
Race	Black alone	31.1%
Race	Asian alone	4.5%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	11.0%
Race	Two or more races	8.3%
Origin	Foreign-born	11.2%
Language	Speaks English only at home	84.5%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	8.6%
Education	High school or higher	61.6%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	35.0%
Education	Advanced degree	13.9%
Household	Family households	66.2%
Household	Avg household size	2.62
Household	Never married (15+)	35.5%
Housing	Median home value	$303,300
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,393
Housing	Single-family detached	66.3%
Housing	Built before 1940	2.4%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	2.4%
Housing	Vacant units	10.3%
Service	Veterans (18+)	7.2%
Health	With a disability	13.1%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	91.0%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	6.6%
Commute	Drove alone	70.9%
Commute	Public transit	1.1%
Commute	Worked from home	15.9%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2024	$1,292	$3,749	$0	$0	$0
2022	$2,030,593	$2,028,136	$2,457	$0	$1,991,274

Elections

2022 general senate · GA-S — lost_general
2022 general senate · GA-S — lost_general
2022 general senate · GA-S — lost_general
2022 general senate · GA-S — lost_general
2022 general senate · GA-S — lost_general
2022 general senate · GA-S — running

Committees

GARY BLACK FOR SENATE INC. — principal · type S

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 23.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
R (major party)	+10.0%
senate race	-2.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2022-06-01	WINRED	24K	$-100
2022-06-01	WINRED	24K	$-7
2022-05-26	WINRED	24K	$-7
2022-05-26	WINRED	24K	$-7
2022-05-26	WINRED	24K	$-2,900
2022-05-26	WINRED	24K	$-7
2022-05-26	WINRED	24K	$-2,900
2022-05-26	WINRED	24K	$-2,100
2022-05-26	WINRED	24K	$-100
2022-05-26	WINRED	24K	$-7
2022-05-26	WINRED	24K	$-2,100
2022-05-26	WINRED	24K	$-7
2022-05-26	WINRED	24K	$-100
2022-05-26	WINRED	24K	$-100
2022-05-26	WINRED	24K	$-7
2022-05-26	WINRED	24K	$-7
2022-05-26	WINRED	24K	$-100
2022-05-26	WINRED	24K	$-258
2022-05-26	WINRED	24K	$-7
2022-05-26	WINRED	24K	$-100
2022-05-26	WINRED	24K	$-7
2022-05-26	WINRED	24K	$-7
2022-05-26	WINRED	24K	$-100
2022-05-25	WINRED	24K	$-15
2022-04-30	WINRED	24K	$-50

Connected on the graph

Inbound (42)

date	from	type	amount	source
2022-06-01	WINRED	contributed_to	$-100	pas2
2022-06-01	WINRED	contributed_to	$-7	pas2
2022-05-26	WINRED	contributed_to	$-100	pas2
2022-05-26	WINRED	contributed_to	$-100	pas2
2022-05-26	WINRED	contributed_to	$-7	pas2
2022-05-26	WINRED	contributed_to	$-258	pas2
2022-05-26	WINRED	contributed_to	$-100	pas2
2022-05-26	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2,100	pas2
2022-05-26	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2,100	pas2
2022-05-26	WINRED	contributed_to	$-100	pas2
2022-05-26	WINRED	contributed_to	$-100	pas2
2022-05-26	WINRED	contributed_to	$-7	pas2
2022-05-26	WINRED	contributed_to	$-100	pas2
2022-05-26	WINRED	contributed_to	$-7	pas2
2022-05-26	WINRED	contributed_to	$-7	pas2
2022-05-26	WINRED	contributed_to	$-7	pas2
2022-05-26	WINRED	contributed_to	$-7	pas2
2022-05-26	WINRED	contributed_to	$-7	pas2
2022-05-26	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2,900	pas2
2022-05-26	WINRED	contributed_to	$-7	pas2
2022-05-26	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2,900	pas2
2022-05-26	WINRED	contributed_to	$-7	pas2
2022-05-26	WINRED	contributed_to	$-7	pas2
2022-05-25	WINRED	contributed_to	$-15	pas2
2022-04-30	WINRED	contributed_to	$-50	pas2
2022-04-15	WINRED	contributed_to	$-7	pas2
2022-04-01	ROLLINS INC POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$3,500	pas2
2022-03-16	WINRED	contributed_to	$-22	pas2
2021-11-10	CONSERVATIVES HARVESTING SUCCESS PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2021-11-09	MISSISSIPPI FARM BUREAU FEDERATION FURTHERING AGRICULTURE FOR RURAL MISSISSIPPIANS FUND PA	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2021-11-02	WINRED	contributed_to	$-7	pas2
2021-11-02	WINRED	contributed_to	$-7	pas2
2021-10-12	CONCORDIA POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE, INC.	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2021-09-30	HELP AMERICA VOTE	contributed_to	$3,500	pas2
2021-09-07	GEORGIA OILMEN'S ASSOCIATION INC PAC (GOAPAC)	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2021-08-12	WINRED	contributed_to	$-15	pas2
2021-08-12	WINRED	contributed_to	$-7	pas2
2021-08-12	WINRED	contributed_to	$-15	pas2
2021-08-10	SOUTHEAST COTTON COMMITTEE (SECC) SOUTHERN COTTONGROWERS INC/SE COTTON GINNERS ASSN	contributed_to	$2,900	pas2
2021-06-29	SOUTHEAST MILK INC POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2021-06-28	ELECT - THE PAC OF THE ALABAMA FARMERS FEDERATION	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2021-06-23	WINRED	contributed_to	$1	pas2

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	GARY BLACK FOR SENATE INC.	—		candidate_committees

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