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COLLINS, CHARLES AUGUSTINE MR

R Β· senate

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FEC candidate id
S2HI00189
Internal id
efc20f6a-48cc-4e46-905d-0331f50e5b9d
Status
challenger

Who this candidate represents (statewide)

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Hawaii. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation1,445,235
PeopleMedian age41
IncomeMedian household income$100,389
IncomePer-capita income$46,005
IncomeIn poverty10.0%
IncomeUnemployed4.6%
IncomeGini inequality index0.451
RaceWhite alone22.1%
RaceBlack alone1.9%
RaceAsian alone36.9%
RaceHispanic or Latino9.9%
RaceTwo or more races27.0%
OriginForeign-born17.9%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home75.3%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home2.0%
EducationHigh school or higher62.7%
EducationBachelor's or higher36.1%
EducationAdvanced degree13.3%
HouseholdFamily households68.0%
HouseholdAvg household size2.85
HouseholdNever married (15+)34.2%
HousingMedian home value$839,100
HousingMedian gross rent$1,971
HousingSingle-family detached53.5%
HousingBuilt before 19403.1%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)8.8%
HousingVacant units13.3%
ServiceVeterans (18+)8.0%
HealthWith a disability12.9%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband92.0%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet5.3%
CommuteDrove alone65.2%
CommutePublic transit3.8%
CommuteWorked from home9.6%

Elections

Committees

No committees on file.

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 23.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
R (major party)+10.0%
senate race-2.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

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