CHRISTIAN, WALLYN
R Β· senate
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- FEC candidate id
S2HI00221- Internal id
c71348bc-1389-483d-a259-3d8f4912fc05- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents (statewide)
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Hawaii. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 1,445,235 |
| People | Median age | 41 |
| Income | Median household income | $100,389 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $46,005 |
| Income | In poverty | 10.0% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.6% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.451 |
| Race | White alone | 22.1% |
| Race | Black alone | 1.9% |
| Race | Asian alone | 36.9% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 9.9% |
| Race | Two or more races | 27.0% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 17.9% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 75.3% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 2.0% |
| Education | High school or higher | 62.7% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 36.1% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 13.3% |
| Household | Family households | 68.0% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.85 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 34.2% |
| Housing | Median home value | $839,100 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,971 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 53.5% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 3.1% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 8.8% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 13.3% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 8.0% |
| Health | With a disability | 12.9% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 92.0% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 5.3% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 65.2% |
| Commute | Public transit | 3.8% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 9.6% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $507 | $507 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Elections
- 2022 general senate Β· HI-S β lost_general
- 2022 general senate Β· HI-S β lost_general
- 2022 general senate Β· HI-S β lost_general
- 2022 general senate Β· HI-S β running
- 2022 general senate Β· HI-S β lost_general
Committees
- FRIENDS FOR WALLYN4HAWAII β principal Β· type S
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 23.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
| senate race | -2.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | FRIENDS FOR WALLYN4HAWAII | β | candidate_committees |