DONNELLY, JOSEPH S

D · senate · bioguide D000607

FEC candidate id: S2IN00091
Internal id: 53f1b6ac-c419-43c3-82e8-48fb29d5e86a
Status: incumbent

Who this candidate represents (statewide)

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Indiana. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	6,851,073
People	Median age	38
Income	Median household income	$71,957
Income	Per-capita income	$38,351
Income	In poverty	12.3%
Income	Unemployed	4.3%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.452
Race	White alone	77.1%
Race	Black alone	9.2%
Race	Asian alone	2.6%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	8.6%
Race	Two or more races	7.3%
Origin	Foreign-born	6.3%
Language	Speaks English only at home	89.7%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	5.5%
Education	High school or higher	62.0%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	29.5%
Education	Advanced degree	10.8%
Household	Family households	63.7%
Household	Avg household size	2.46
Household	Never married (15+)	32.0%
Housing	Median home value	$218,200
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,062
Housing	Single-family detached	72.7%
Housing	Built before 1940	5.2%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	1.8%
Housing	Vacant units	8.8%
Service	Veterans (18+)	6.3%
Health	With a disability	14.2%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	89.9%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	7.6%
Commute	Drove alone	76.3%
Commute	Public transit	0.6%
Commute	Worked from home	10.7%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2026	$322	$10,529	$90,512	$0	$0
2024	$7	$38,707	$100,719	$0	$0
2022	$7	$32,342	$139,419	$0	$0
2020	$226,032	$228,151	$171,754	$0	$0
2018	$14,585,918	$15,800,916	$173,873	$0	$10,595,662
2016	$1,531,671	$607,705	$1,388,871	$0	$673,641
2014	$1,135,426	$764,457	$464,904	$0	$673,373
2012	$5,662,233	$5,588,317	$93,936	$98,430	$4,180,725

Elections

2012 general senate · IN-S — won
2012 general senate · IN-S — won
2012 general senate · IN-S — running
2012 general senate · IN-S — running
2012 general senate · IN-S — running
2012 general senate · IN-S — won
2012 general senate · IN-S — running
2012 general senate · IN-S — won
2012 general senate · IN-S — running
2018 general senate · IN-S — running
2018 general senate · IN-S — lost_general
2018 general senate · IN-S — lost_general
2018 general senate · IN-S — won
2018 general senate · IN-S — won
2018 general senate · IN-S — lost_general
2018 general senate · IN-S — won
2018 general senate · IN-S — won
2018 general senate · IN-S — lost_general
2018 general senate · IN-S — running
2018 general senate · IN-S — lost_general
2018 general senate · IN-S — running

Committees

2018 SENATE IMPACT — joint_fundraising · type S
BLUE SENATE 2018 — joint_fundraising · type S
CT/IN/NM VICTORY FUND — joint_fundraising · type S
DONNELLY FOR INDIANA — principal · type S
DONNELLY VICTORY FUND — joint_fundraising · type N
HEIDI JOE VICTORY FUND — joint_fundraising · type S
HOOSIERS FOR A BETTER INDIANA — joint_fundraising · type N
INDIANA SENATE 2012 — joint_fundraising · type N
JARED POLIS VICTORY FUND 2012 — joint_fundraising · type N
JUSTICE 2018 — joint_fundraising · type N
SENATE 2018 IMPACT — joint_fundraising · type S
SENATE IMPACT 2018 — joint_fundraising · type S
SENATE IMPACT IN & WI — joint_fundraising · type S
SENATE IMPACT: IN & MT 2018 — joint_fundraising · type S
SENATE IMPACT: MO & IN — joint_fundraising · type S

Recent votes

No votes on file.

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 99.0%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
incumbent	+78.0%
D (major party)	+10.0%
senate race	-2.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2021-03-30	NATIONAL FARMERS UNION PAC	24K	$-2,000

Connected on the graph

Inbound (1)

date	from	type	amount	role	source
2021-03-30	NATIONAL FARMERS UNION PAC	contributed_to	$-2,000		pas2

Outbound (15)

date	type	to	amount	source
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	HEIDI JOE VICTORY FUND	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	JARED POLIS VICTORY FUND 2012	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	BLUE SENATE 2018	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	SENATE 2018 IMPACT	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	2018 SENATE IMPACT	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	SENATE IMPACT: MO & IN	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	INDIANA SENATE 2012	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	JUSTICE 2018	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	DONNELLY VICTORY FUND	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	HOOSIERS FOR A BETTER INDIANA	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	SENATE IMPACT: IN & MT 2018	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	SENATE IMPACT IN & WI	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	CT/IN/NM VICTORY FUND	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	SENATE IMPACT 2018	—	candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	DONNELLY FOR INDIANA	—	candidate_committees

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