TARANTIN, JAMES
R Β· senate
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- FEC candidate id
S2MD00552- Internal id
425af7df-5fa9-4d80-9285-cdd348aeeab5- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents (statewide)
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Maryland. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 6,206,011 |
| People | Median age | 39 |
| Income | Median household income | $103,678 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $52,979 |
| Income | In poverty | 9.4% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.8% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.456 |
| Race | White alone | 48.2% |
| Race | Black alone | 29.4% |
| Race | Asian alone | 6.6% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 12.5% |
| Race | Two or more races | 8.5% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 16.6% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 78.9% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 9.6% |
| Education | High school or higher | 66.9% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 43.5% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 20.8% |
| Household | Family households | 65.0% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.57 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 36.2% |
| Housing | Median home value | $419,900 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,705 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 51.2% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 5.0% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.5% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 7.7% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 6.8% |
| Health | With a disability | 11.6% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 92.4% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 5.2% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 64.7% |
| Commute | Public transit | 4.2% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 19.3% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $0 | $1 | $0 | $26,281 | $0 |
| 2022 | $184,872 | $184,871 | $1 | $26,281 | $84,812 |
Elections
- 2022 general senate Β· MD-S β lost_general
- 2022 general senate Β· MD-S β lost_general
- 2022 general senate Β· MD-S β lost_general
- 2022 general senate Β· MD-S β lost_general
- 2022 general senate Β· MD-S β lost_general
- 2022 general senate Β· MD-S β running
Committees
- JAMES TARANTIN FOR THE UNITED STATES SENATE β principal Β· type S
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 23.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
| senate race | -2.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-20 | WINRED | 24K | $-10 |
| 2022-05-17 | WINRED | 24K | $-25 |
| 2022-05-17 | WINRED | 24K | $-20 |
| 2022-05-09 | WINRED | 24K | $-20 |
| 2022-04-10 | WINRED | 24K | $-50 |
| 2022-03-31 | WINRED | 24K | $-5 |
| 2022-03-09 | WINRED | 24K | $-2 |
| 2022-03-09 | WINRED | 24K | $-25 |
| 2022-03-06 | WINRED | 24K | $-5 |
| 2022-03-06 | WINRED | 24K | $-2 |
| 2022-02-17 | WINRED | 24K | $-10 |
| 2022-02-02 | WINRED | 24K | $-20 |
| 2022-02-01 | WINRED | 24K | $-50 |
| 2022-01-27 | WINRED | 24K | $-10 |
| 2022-01-14 | WINRED | 24K | $-10 |
| 2022-01-08 | WINRED | 24K | $-10 |
| 2022-01-08 | WINRED | 24K | $-5 |
| 2022-01-08 | WINRED | 24K | $-10 |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | 24K | $-15 |
| 2022-01-02 | WINRED | 24K | $-20 |
| 2022-01-02 | WINRED | 24K | $-5 |
| 2021-12-28 | WINRED | 24K | $-20 |
| 2021-12-28 | WINRED | 24K | $-20 |
| 2021-12-07 | WINRED | 24K | $-20 |
| 2021-12-05 | WINRED | 24K | $-5 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (28)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-20 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-17 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-17 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-20 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-09 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-20 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-10 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-50 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-31 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-09 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-2 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-09 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-06 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-2 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-06 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2022-02-17 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-02-02 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-20 | pas2 | |
| 2022-02-01 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-50 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-27 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-14 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-08 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-08 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-08 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-15 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-02 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-20 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-02 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2021-12-28 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-20 | pas2 | |
| 2021-12-28 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-20 | pas2 | |
| 2021-12-07 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-20 | pas2 | |
| 2021-12-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2021-12-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-18 | pas2 | |
| 2021-12-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2021-11-06 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-50 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | JAMES TARANTIN FOR THE UNITED STATES SENATE | β | candidate_committees |