SCHATZ, DAVE
R Β· senate
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- FEC candidate id
S2MO00643- Internal id
205323ee-41e2-47a6-9a42-ac8fe0655dc4- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents (statewide)
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Missouri. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 6,191,814 |
| People | Median age | 39 |
| Income | Median household income | $70,702 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $39,695 |
| Income | In poverty | 12.6% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.0% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.465 |
| Race | White alone | 77.5% |
| Race | Black alone | 11.0% |
| Race | Asian alone | 2.1% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 5.2% |
| Race | Two or more races | 7.1% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 4.5% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 93.3% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 2.9% |
| Education | High school or higher | 62.6% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 32.4% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 12.6% |
| Household | Family households | 62.1% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.40 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 31.7% |
| Housing | Median home value | $230,300 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,033 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 70.5% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 4.3% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.7% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 11.2% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.3% |
| Health | With a disability | 14.9% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 89.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 7.7% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 74.8% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.8% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 13.0% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $2,311,160 | $2,311,160 | $0 | $0 | $303,360 |
Elections
- 2022 general senate Β· MO-S β lost_general
- 2022 general senate Β· MO-S β lost_general
- 2022 general senate Β· MO-S β lost_general
- 2022 general senate Β· MO-S β lost_general
- 2022 general senate Β· MO-S β lost_general
- 2022 general senate Β· MO-S β lost_general
Committees
- DAVE SCHATZ FOR SENATE β principal Β· type S
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 18.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
| senate race | -2.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $8,499 | $0 | 1 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-07-25 | GET THE JOB DONE PAC | support | $8,499 | MEDIA PRODUCTION / MEDIA PLACEMENT |
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-07-25 | GET THE JOB DONE PAC | 24E | $8,498 |
| 2022-06-27 | CIVIL & ENVIRONMENTAL CONSULTANTS, INC. - PAC | 24K | $500 |
| 2022-05-20 | AMERICAN COUNCIL OF ENGINEERING COMPANIES (ACEC⦠| 24K | $5,000 |
| 2022-04-04 | CRH AMERICAS, INC. PAC | 24K | $2,500 |
| 2022-02-08 | TRANSYSTEMS CORPORATION PAC | 24K | $2,500 |
| 2022-01-31 | WINRED | 24K | $-5 |
| 2021-12-31 | WINRED | 24K | $-5 |
| 2021-12-29 | WINRED | 24K | $-50 |
| 2021-12-28 | WINRED | 24K | $-5 |
| 2021-12-28 | WINRED | 24K | $-5 |
| 2021-12-28 | WINRED | 24K | $-5 |
| 2021-12-28 | WINRED | 24K | $-5 |
| 2021-12-28 | WINRED | 24K | $-5 |
| 2021-12-28 | WINRED | 24K | $-5 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (15)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-07-25 | GET THE JOB DONE PAC | contributed_to | $8,498 | pas2 | |
| 2022-07-25 | GET THE JOB DONE PAC | supports_independently | $8,499 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-06-27 | CIVIL & ENVIRONMENTAL CONSULTANTS, INC. - PAC | contributed_to | $500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-20 | AMERICAN COUNCIL OF ENGINEERING COMPANIES (ACEC/PAC) | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-04 | CRH AMERICAS, INC. PAC | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-02-08 | TRANSYSTEMS CORPORATION PAC | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-31 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2021-12-31 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2021-12-29 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-50 | pas2 | |
| 2021-12-28 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2021-12-28 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2021-12-28 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2021-12-28 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2021-12-28 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2021-12-28 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | DAVE SCHATZ FOR SENATE | β | candidate_committees |