BUSCH VALENTINE, TRUDY
D Β· senate
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- FEC candidate id
S2MO00692- Internal id
e8d1afa0-f0bf-4c8b-91b8-c81ee7e58efe- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents (statewide)
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Missouri. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 6,191,814 |
| People | Median age | 39 |
| Income | Median household income | $70,702 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $39,695 |
| Income | In poverty | 12.6% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.0% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.465 |
| Race | White alone | 77.5% |
| Race | Black alone | 11.0% |
| Race | Asian alone | 2.1% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 5.2% |
| Race | Two or more races | 7.1% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 4.5% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 93.3% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 2.9% |
| Education | High school or higher | 62.6% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 32.4% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 12.6% |
| Household | Family households | 62.1% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.40 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 31.7% |
| Housing | Median home value | $230,300 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,033 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 70.5% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 4.3% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.7% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 11.2% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.3% |
| Health | With a disability | 14.9% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 89.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 7.7% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 74.8% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.8% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 13.0% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $26,411 | $320,493 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2022 | $18,322,282 | $18,028,200 | $294,082 | $15,350,000 | $1,718,058 |
Elections
- 2022 general senate Β· MO-S β lost_general
- 2022 general senate Β· MO-S β lost_general
- 2022 general senate Β· MO-S β lost_general
- 2022 general senate Β· MO-S β lost_general
- 2022 general senate Β· MO-S β lost_general
- 2022 general senate Β· MO-S β lost_general
Committees
- TRUDY BUSCH VALENTINE FOR SENATE β principal Β· type S
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 18.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
| senate race | -2.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $12,251 | $910,302 | 18 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | GUN RIGHTS AMERICA | oppose | $35 | Estimated Email Sending Costs |
| β | GUN RIGHTS AMERICA | oppose | $100 | Estimated Texting Outreach |
| β | GUN RIGHTS AMERICA | oppose | $35 | Estimated Email Sending Costs |
| β | GUN RIGHTS AMERICA | oppose | $500 | Estimated PreGeneral Digital Advertising |
| β | GUN RIGHTS AMERICA | oppose | $100 | Estimated Texting Outreach |
| β | GUN RIGHTS AMERICA | oppose | $35 | Estimated PreGeneral Email Sending Costs |
| β | GUN RIGHTS AMERICA | oppose | $100 | Estimated PreGeneral Texting Outreach |
| β | GUN RIGHTS AMERICA | oppose | $35 | Estimated Email Sending Costs |
| β | GUN RIGHTS AMERICA | oppose | $100 | Estimated Texting Outreach |
| 2022-11-04 | DEMOCRATIC FEDERAL CAMPAIGN COMMITTEE OF ST LOU⦠| support | $9,751 | Talent Fee & Assoc. Costs - GOTV/Voter Edu. Event |
| 2022-11-01 | PROTECT THE VOTE | support | $1,000 | Robo calls to GOTV;IE-Only Account |
| 2022-10-28 | SAVE MISSOURI VALUES | oppose | $625,000 | MEDIA PLACEMENT |
| 2022-10-26 | SAVE MISSOURI VALUES | oppose | $5,380 | MEDIA PRODUCTION |
| 2022-10-26 | SAVE MISSOURI VALUES | oppose | $75,000 | MEDIA PLACEMENT |
| 2022-09-05 | PROTECT THE VOTE | support | $1,500 | Digital Advertising |
| 2022-07-29 | MISSOURI VOICES ACTION FUND | oppose | $100,000 | Media Advertising 'Shame' (7/30-8/02) |
| 2022-07-21 | MISSOURI VOICES ACTION FUND | oppose | $13,882 | Media Production Shame (7/22-7/28) |
| 2022-07-21 | MISSOURI VOICES ACTION FUND | oppose | $90,000 | Media Advertising Shame (7/22-7/28) |
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
Connected on the graph
Inbound (78)
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | TRUDY BUSCH VALENTINE FOR SENATE | β | candidate_committees |