LONG, BILLY
R Β· senate
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- FEC candidate id
S2MO00726- Internal id
29bd5b81-423c-43d0-b5f8-4a1b1e9ebf6a- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents (statewide)
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Missouri. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 6,191,814 |
| People | Median age | 39 |
| Income | Median household income | $70,702 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $39,695 |
| Income | In poverty | 12.6% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.0% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.465 |
| Race | White alone | 77.5% |
| Race | Black alone | 11.0% |
| Race | Asian alone | 2.1% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 5.2% |
| Race | Two or more races | 7.1% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 4.5% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 93.3% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 2.9% |
| Education | High school or higher | 62.6% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 32.4% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 12.6% |
| Household | Family households | 62.1% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.40 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 31.7% |
| Housing | Median home value | $230,300 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,033 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 70.5% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 4.3% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.7% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 11.2% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.3% |
| Health | With a disability | 14.9% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 89.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 7.7% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 74.8% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.8% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 13.0% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $136,900 | $166,732 | $0 | $0 | $136,900 |
| 2024 | $35,977 | $28,158 | $29,832 | $130,000 | $28,195 |
| 2022 | $2,205,145 | $2,658,243 | $22,013 | $130,000 | $1,097,390 |
Elections
- 2022 general senate Β· MO-S β lost_general
- 2022 general senate Β· MO-S β lost_general
- 2022 general senate Β· MO-S β lost_general
- 2022 general senate Β· MO-S β running
- 2022 general senate Β· MO-S β running
- 2022 general senate Β· MO-S β lost_general
- 2022 general senate Β· MO-S β running
- 2022 general senate Β· MO-S β lost_general
- 2022 general senate Β· MO-S β lost_general
- 2022 general senate Β· MO-S β running
Committees
- BILLY LONG FOR SENATE β principal Β· type S
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 18.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
| senate race | -2.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
Connected on the graph
Inbound (83)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-12-05 | TOMORROW IS MEANINGFUL PAC | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-11 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-19 | SOUTHERN STATES PAC | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-14 | RESPONSIBILITY AND FREEDOM WORK PAC (RFWPAC) | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-30 | UPPER HAND FUND | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-30 | OUTDOOR AMUSEMENT BUSINESS ASSOCIATION INC POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $-2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-29 | CONSERVATIVE PROMISES PAC | contributed_to | $1,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-21 | DO RIGHT BAYOU PAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-21 | ABRAHAM LINCOLN LEADERSHIP POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-19 | AMERICAN SECURITY PAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-10 | OUTDOOR AMUSEMENT BUSINESS ASSOCIATION INC POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $-2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-09 | CMR POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $-5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-07 | GW PAC | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-07 | JASON SMITH FOR CONGRESS | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-18 | RELY ON YOUR BELIEFS FUND | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-18 | CMR POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-08 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-50 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-02 | WINMO PAC | contributed_to | $18,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-02 | WINMO PAC | contributed_to | $8,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-01 | WINMO PAC | contributed_to | $3,200 | pas2 | |
| 2022-07-28 | WINMO PAC | contributed_to | $22,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-06-06 | HY-VEE INC EMPLOYEES' POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-16 | WINMO PAC | contributed_to | $120,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-08 | WINMO PAC | contributed_to | $32,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-04 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-50 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-21 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-02-21 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-02-18 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-02-18 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2022-02-18 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-50 | pas2 | |
| 2022-02-18 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-50 | pas2 | |
| 2022-02-18 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2022-02-17 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2022-02-03 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-30 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-17 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-17 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-20 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-16 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-1 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-12 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-11 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-15 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-02 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-250 | pas2 | |
| 2021-12-31 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2021-12-27 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-1 | pas2 | |
| 2021-12-18 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2021-12-14 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-4 | pas2 | |
| 2021-12-13 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2021-12-13 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2021-12-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-1 | pas2 | |
| 2021-12-04 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-1 | pas2 | |
| 2021-12-04 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-1 | pas2 | |
| 2021-11-24 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2021-11-24 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-6 | pas2 | |
| 2021-11-24 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2021-10-15 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2021-10-11 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2021-10-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-2 | pas2 | |
| 2021-09-03 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-3 | pas2 | |
| 2021-09-03 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-6 | pas2 | |
| 2021-09-03 | WINRED | contributed_to | $0 | pas2 | |
| 2021-09-03 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-1 | pas2 | |
| 2021-09-03 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-3 | pas2 | |
| 2021-09-03 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-12 | pas2 | |
| 2021-09-03 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-12 | pas2 | |
| 2021-09-03 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-3 | pas2 | |
| 2021-09-03 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-12 | pas2 | |
| 2021-09-03 | WINRED | contributed_to | $0 | pas2 | |
| 2021-09-03 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-6 | pas2 | |
| 2021-09-03 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-3 | pas2 | |
| 2021-09-03 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-6 | pas2 | |
| 2021-09-03 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-1 | pas2 | |
| 2021-09-03 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-3 | pas2 | |
| 2021-09-03 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2021-09-03 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-3 | pas2 | |
| 2021-09-03 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-1 | pas2 | |
| 2021-09-03 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-3 | pas2 | |
| 2021-09-03 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-6 | pas2 | |
| 2021-09-03 | WINRED | contributed_to | $0 | pas2 | |
| 2021-08-18 | LOCKTON INC POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2021-08-16 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-1 | pas2 | |
| 2021-08-16 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-1 | pas2 | |
| 2021-08-16 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-1 | pas2 | |
| 2021-08-16 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-1 | pas2 | |
| 2021-08-16 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-1 | pas2 | |
| 2021-07-27 | THE ESOP ASSOCIATION PAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | BILLY LONG FOR SENATE | β | candidate_committees |