FAIRCLOTH, DUNCAN M
R Β· senate Β· bioguide F000437
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- FEC candidate id
S2NC00018- Internal id
639d7c3e-9937-4624-8da7-240d52a05a89- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents (statewide)
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), North Carolina. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 10,730,404 |
| People | Median age | 39 |
| Income | Median household income | $72,388 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $41,385 |
| Income | In poverty | 13.0% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.6% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.477 |
| Race | White alone | 61.8% |
| Race | Black alone | 20.3% |
| Race | Asian alone | 3.3% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 11.3% |
| Race | Two or more races | 8.3% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 9.1% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 86.5% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 8.7% |
| Education | High school or higher | 60.4% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 35.6% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 13.5% |
| Household | Family households | 64.3% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.44 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 32.9% |
| Housing | Median home value | $288,900 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,228 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 65.3% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 3.1% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.2% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 12.5% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.4% |
| Health | With a disability | 13.6% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 90.1% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 7.5% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 71.5% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.7% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 16.4% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2002 | $298 | $5,939 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2000 | $72,488 | $99,426 | $5,640 | $7,915,977 | $11,025 |
| 1998 | $9,370,462 | $9,375,771 | $32,578 | $1,700,000 | $5,087,388 |
| 1996 | $888,243 | $875,061 | $37,885 | $60,000 | $445,908 |
| 1994 | $1,580,358 | $1,565,458 | $24,662 | $590,500 | $851,919 |
| 1992 | $2,969,937 | $2,960,173 | $9,762 | $1,199,569 | $1,795,936 |
Elections
- 1992 general senate Β· NC-S β won
- 1992 general senate Β· NC-S β won
- 1992 general senate Β· NC-S β won
- 1998 general senate Β· NC-S β lost_general
- 1998 general senate Β· NC-S β won
- 1998 general senate Β· NC-S β lost_general
- 1998 general senate Β· NC-S β won
- 1998 general senate Β· NC-S β lost_general
- 1998 general senate Β· NC-S β won
- 1998 general senate Β· NC-S β won
- 2004 general senate Β· NC-S β lost_general
- 2004 general senate Β· NC-S β lost_general
Committees
- BUSINESS LEADERS SALUTE FAIRCLOTH β joint_fundraising Β· type Y
- FAIRCLOTH FOR SENATE COMMITTEE 1998 β principal Β· type S
- FAIRCLOTH FOR SENATE COMMITTEE 2004 β principal Β· type S
- NORTH CAROLINA VICTORY FUND β joint_fundraising Β· type X
Recent votes
No votes on file.
Sponsored & cosponsored bills
- sponsor Β· 1997-10-06 β S 1257 β North Carolina Outer Banks Protection Act of 1997
- cosponsor β S 236 β Department of Energy Abolishment Act
- cosponsor β S 1646 β Propane Education and Research Act of 1996
- cosponsor β S 317 β National Geologic Mapping Reauthorization Act of 1997
- cosponsor β S 1596 β Ward Valley Land Transfer Act
- cosponsor β S 297 β A bill to authorize the Air Force Memorial Foundation to establish a memorial in the District of Columbia or its environs.
- cosponsor β S 391 β Federal Lands Forest Health Protection and Restoration Act
- cosponsor β S 1678 β Department of Energy Abolishment Act
- cosponsor β S 1731 β National Geologic Mapping Reauthorization Act of 1996
- cosponsor β S 1271 β Nuclear Waste Policy Act of 1996
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 23.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
| senate race | -2.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.