MARSHALL, ELAINE FOLK
D Β· senate
Sign in to add to a watchlist β
- FEC candidate id
S2NC00075- Internal id
183b7314-c940-4205-af6f-efb9050b34b6- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents (statewide)
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), North Carolina. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 10,730,404 |
| People | Median age | 39 |
| Income | Median household income | $72,388 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $41,385 |
| Income | In poverty | 13.0% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.6% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.477 |
| Race | White alone | 61.8% |
| Race | Black alone | 20.3% |
| Race | Asian alone | 3.3% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 11.3% |
| Race | Two or more races | 8.3% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 9.1% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 86.5% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 8.7% |
| Education | High school or higher | 60.4% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 35.6% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 13.5% |
| Household | Family households | 64.3% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.44 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 32.9% |
| Housing | Median home value | $288,900 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,228 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 65.3% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 3.1% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.2% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 12.5% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.4% |
| Health | With a disability | 13.6% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 90.1% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 7.5% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 71.5% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.7% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 16.4% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 | $8,223 | $57,443 | $0 | $19,614 | $1,200 |
| 2010 | $2,918,568 | $2,869,346 | $49,220 | $71,500 | $2,563,412 |
| 2006 | $8 | $3,040 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2004 | $129,626 | $132,859 | $3,032 | $250,000 | $120,754 |
| 2002 | $970,634 | $964,367 | $6,266 | $321,960 | $661,196 |
Elections
- 2002 general senate Β· NC-S β lost_general
- 2002 general senate Β· NC-S β lost_general
- 2002 general senate Β· NC-S β running
- 2002 general senate Β· NC-S β lost_general
- 2002 general senate Β· NC-S β lost_general
- 2010 general senate Β· NC-S β lost_general
- 2010 general senate Β· NC-S β lost_general
- 2010 general senate Β· NC-S β lost_general
- 2010 general senate Β· NC-S β running
- 2010 general senate Β· NC-S β lost_general
Committees
- ELAINE MARSHALL COMMITTEE β principal Β· type S
- ELAINE MARSHALL FOR SENATE β principal Β· type S
- KENTUCKY/NORTH CAROLINA VICTORY β joint_fundraising Β· type S
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 23.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
| senate race | -2.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (3)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | KENTUCKY/NORTH CAROLINA VICTORY | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | ELAINE MARSHALL FOR SENATE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | ELAINE MARSHALL COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees |