HAHN, PATRICK JOHN
R Β· senate
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- FEC candidate id
S2NY00390- Internal id
95845a96-a26d-4a0b-a485-e8b3f7beba3c- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents (statewide)
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), New York. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 19,852,366 |
| People | Median age | 40 |
| Income | Median household income | $85,974 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $50,712 |
| Income | In poverty | 14.0% |
| Income | Unemployed | 6.4% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.517 |
| Race | White alone | 55.2% |
| Race | Black alone | 14.3% |
| Race | Asian alone | 9.1% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 19.8% |
| Race | Two or more races | 10.3% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 22.8% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 69.1% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 14.8% |
| Education | High school or higher | 64.5% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 40.2% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 17.9% |
| Household | Family households | 61.4% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.49 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 38.9% |
| Housing | Median home value | $423,800 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,621 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 41.1% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 7.7% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 5.3% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 10.1% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 3.7% |
| Health | With a disability | 12.6% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 90.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 6.8% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 48.8% |
| Commute | Public transit | 21.6% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 14.9% |
Elections
- 2022 general senate Β· NY-S β lost_general
- 2022 general senate Β· NY-S β running
- 2022 general senate Β· NY-S β lost_general
- 2022 general senate Β· NY-S β lost_general
- 2022 general senate Β· NY-S β lost_general
- 2022 general senate Β· NY-S β lost_general
Committees
No committees on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 23.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
| senate race | -2.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.