VANCE, J D
R Β· senate Β· bioguide V000137
Sign in to add to a watchlist β
- FEC candidate id
S2OH00436- Internal id
d6f9e111-9ce5-4212-9d99-4660c68c16aa- Status
- incumbent
Who this candidate represents (statewide)
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Ohio. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 11,810,293 |
| People | Median age | 40 |
| Income | Median household income | $71,389 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $40,552 |
| Income | In poverty | 13.3% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.8% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.467 |
| Race | White alone | 76.8% |
| Race | Black alone | 12.2% |
| Race | Asian alone | 2.6% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 4.8% |
| Race | Two or more races | 6.5% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 5.2% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 92.0% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 2.6% |
| Education | High school or higher | 63.6% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 31.5% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 12.2% |
| Household | Family households | 61.2% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.37 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 33.6% |
| Housing | Median home value | $214,800 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,034 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 68.8% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 5.6% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.5% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 8.1% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 6.6% |
| Health | With a disability | 14.4% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 90.1% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 7.4% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 75.1% |
| Commute | Public transit | 1.0% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 13.0% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $194,274 | $139,529 | $190,377 | $42,000 | $99,539 |
| 2024 | $2,704,752 | $3,010,430 | $135,632 | $103,207 | $2,026,009 |
| 2022 | $15,994,977 | $15,553,668 | $441,309 | $1,004,488 | $8,953,629 |
Elections
- 2022 general senate Β· OH-S β won
- 2022 general senate Β· OH-S β running
- 2022 general senate Β· OH-S β won
- 2022 general senate Β· OH-S β running
- 2022 general senate Β· OH-S β running
- 2022 general senate Β· OH-S β won
- 2022 general senate Β· OH-S β won
- 2022 general senate Β· OH-S β running
- 2022 general senate Β· OH-S β running
- 2022 general senate Β· OH-S β won
- 2028 general senate Β· OH-S β running
- 2028 general senate Β· OH-S β running
- 2028 general senate Β· OH-S β running
- 2028 general senate Β· OH-S β running
- 2028 general senate Β· OH-S β running
- 2028 general senate Β· OH-S β running
- 2028 general senate Β· OH-S β running
Committees
- JD VANCE FOR SENATE INC. β principal Β· type S
- VANCE FOR OH SENATE REPUBLICAN NOMINEE FUND 2022 β principal Β· type S
Recent votes
- 2025-01-09 Β· Cong. 119 Β· senate roll 1
YEA on S 5 β Laken Riley Act - 2024-12-21 Β· Cong. 118 Β· senate roll 339
NOT_VOTING on HR 10545 β American Relief Act, 2025 - 2024-12-21 Β· Cong. 118 Β· senate roll 338
NOT_VOTING on HR 82 β Social Security Fairness Act of 2023 - 2024-12-21 Β· Cong. 118 Β· senate roll 337
NOT_VOTING on HR 82 β Social Security Fairness Act of 2023 - 2024-12-21 Β· Cong. 118 Β· senate roll 336
NOT_VOTING on Amendment Rejected (34-62, 3/5 majority required) - 2024-12-21 Β· Cong. 118 Β· senate roll 335
NOT_VOTING on Amendment Rejected (32-64, 3/5 majority required) - 2024-12-21 Β· Cong. 118 Β· senate roll 334
NOT_VOTING on Amendment Rejected (28-67, 3/5 majority required) - 2024-12-21 Β· Cong. 118 Β· senate roll 333
NOT_VOTING on Amendment Rejected (3-93, 3/5 majority required) - 2024-12-20 Β· Cong. 118 Β· senate roll 332
NOT_VOTING on Nomination Confirmed (49-47) - 2024-12-20 Β· Cong. 118 Β· senate roll 331
NOT_VOTING on Cloture Motion Agreed to (49-47)
Sponsored & cosponsored bills
- sponsor Β· 2024-06-12 β S 4516 β Dismantle DEI Act of 2024
- sponsor Β· 2024-05-14 β S 4333 β Domenic and Edβs Law
- sponsor Β· 2024-05-09 β S 4295 β Encampments or Endowments Act
- sponsor Β· 2024-04-15 β S 4122 β Continuous Skilled Nursing Quality Improvement Act of 2024
- sponsor Β· 2024-03-21 β S 4045 β East Palestine Health Impact Monitoring Act of 2024
- sponsor Β· 2024-03-19 β S 3978 β College Employment Accountability Act
- sponsor Β· 2024-03-14 β S 3944 β William S. Knudsen Defense Remobilization Act
- sponsor Β· 2024-03-14 β S 3945 β A bill to restrict the Chinese Government from accessing United States capital markets and exchanges if it fails to comply with international laws relating to finance, trade, and commerce.
- sponsor Β· 2024-03-14 β S 3962 β Enhanced End-Use Monitoring Accountability Act of 2024
- sponsor Β· 2024-03-12 β S 3915 β No Community Development Block Grants for Sanctuary Cities Act
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 99.0%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| incumbent | +78.0% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
| senate race | -2.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $0 | $0 | 1 |
| 2024 | $31,836 | $0 | 26 |
| 2022 | $16,695,085 | $21,810,497 | 413 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | WELCOMEPAC | oppose | $13,900 | Digital Advertising - Estimate |
| β | WELCOMEPAC | oppose | $4,918 | Text Messaging - Estimate |
| β | WELCOMEPAC | oppose | $4,479 | Billboard - Estimate |
| β | WELCOMEPAC | oppose | $50,000 | Direct Mail - Estimate |
| β | WELCOMEPAC | oppose | $15 | Video Production - Estimate |
| β | WELCOMEPAC | oppose | $10 | Video Production - Estimate |
| β | THE LINCOLN PROJECT | oppose | $15,025 | TV Ad Production |
| β | THE LINCOLN PROJECT | oppose | $7,050 | Ad Production |
| β | THE LINCOLN PROJECT | oppose | $10,975 | Ad Production (Estimate) |
| β | THE LINCOLN PROJECT | oppose | $1,500 | Digital Ad Buy (Estimate) |
| β | THE PEOPLE, EMPOWERED | support | $1,250 | Phone Voter Contact |
| β | THE PEOPLE, EMPOWERED | support | $1,250 | Phone Voter Contact |
| β | THE PEOPLE, EMPOWERED | support | $1,250 | Phone Voter Contact |
| β | THE PEOPLE, EMPOWERED | support | $1,250 | Video Production |
| β | THE PEOPLE, EMPOWERED | support | $1,250 | Phone Voter Contact |
| β | THE PEOPLE, EMPOWERED | support | $270 | TV Advertising |
| β | THE PEOPLE, EMPOWERED | support | $270 | TV Advertising |
| β | THE PEOPLE, EMPOWERED | support | $270 | TV Advertising |
| β | THE PEOPLE, EMPOWERED | support | $270 | TV Advertising |
| β | THE PEOPLE, EMPOWERED | support | $270 | TV Advertising |
| β | THE PEOPLE, EMPOWERED | support | $125 | Video & Audio Editing |
| β | THE PEOPLE, EMPOWERED | support | $1,250 | Phone Voter Contact |
| β | SAVE AMERICA FUND | oppose | $40,000 | Digital Advertising |
| β | SAVE AMERICA FUND | oppose | $44,176 | Direct Mail |
| β | SAVE AMERICA FUND | oppose | $50,000 | Digital Advertising |
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| β | LF PAC | 24A | $7,488 |
| β | LF PAC | 24A | $11,700 |
| β | LF PAC | 24A | $11,700 |
| β | LF PAC | 24A | $3,985 |
| β | LF PAC | 24A | $5,071 |
| β | LF PAC | 24A | $1,376 |
| β | LF PAC | 24A | $18,582 |
| β | LF PAC | 24A | $1,376 |
| β | LF PAC | 24A | $25,075 |
| β | LF PAC | 24A | $28,383 |
| β | LF PAC | 24A | $43,109 |
| β | LF PAC | 24A | $43,137 |
| β | SAVE AMERICA FUND | 24A | $40,000 |
| β | SAVE AMERICA FUND | 24A | $44,176 |
| β | SAVE AMERICA FUND | 24A | $50,000 |
| β | LF PAC | 24A | $24,858 |
| β | LF PAC | 24A | $13,920 |
| β | PROTECT OHIO VALUES PAC (POV PAC) | 24E | $799,455 |
| 2025-12-31 | THE PETER NORBECK LEADERSHIP PAC | 24K | $5,000 |
| 2025-12-24 | MR PAC | 24K | $5,000 |
| 2025-12-23 | COMMON SENSE FOR AMERICA PAC | 24K | $5,000 |
| 2025-12-23 | THE HAWKEYE PAC | 24K | $5,000 |
| 2025-12-21 | LEADERSHIP AND ACCOUNTABILITY ARE NATIONAL KEYS⦠| 24K | $5,000 |
| 2025-12-18 | CONSERVATIVES HARVESTING SUCCESS PAC | 24K | $5,000 |
| 2025-12-18 | CONSERVATIVES HARVESTING SUCCESS PAC | 24K | $5,000 |
Top individual donors (2026 cycle)
Via this candidate's principal committee JD VANCE FOR SENATE INC..
Aggregated from FEC Schedule A by donor (name + city + state). Employer + occupation reflect the donor's most recent gift. Source: FEC indiv bulk.
| Donor | Employer / occupation | City, ST | Gifts | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HENDRICK, THOMAS | RETIRED Β· RETIRED | PLANO, TX | 1 | $100 |
| NEUMAN, DAN | RETIRED Β· RETIRED | SODA SPRINGS, ID | 1 | $100 |
| JAEOSZ, ROSEMARIE | RETIRED Β· RETIRED | MOUNT VERNON, NY | 1 | $100 |
| COOPER, BONNIE | RETIRED Β· RETIRED | MORRISTOWN, NJ | 1 | $99 |
| TACCETTA, CAROL | RETIRED Β· RETIRED | TOMS RIVER, NJ | 1 | $50 |
| OWEN, JERRY | RETIRED Β· RETIRED | BROOMFIELD, CO | 1 | $50 |
| PEARSALL, BRIAN | RETIRED Β· RETIRED | BRIGHTON, MI | 1 | $50 |
| YOUNGSON, JOHN C. | RETIRED Β· RETIRED | ARCADIA, CA | 1 | $50 |
| DESELLEMS, CHRIS | CHRIS DESELLEMS Β· ENGINEERING | MEMPHIS, NY | 1 | $36 |
| CASPER, RAY | RETIRED Β· RETIRED | PALM COAST, FL | 1 | $35 |
| HODGE, CINDY | RETIRED Β· RETIRED | DALLAS, TX | 1 | $35 |
| PUGLIESE, CAROLE | RETIRED Β· RETIRED | UNIVERSITY PARK CO, FL | 1 | $34 |
| HEATON, DEBORAH JO | RETIRED Β· RETIRED | HOOVER, AL | 1 | $33 |
| BULGER, THOMAS | RETIRED Β· RETIRED | BROOKLYN, NY | 1 | $29 |
| CATANIA, PAT | RETIRED Β· RETIRED | SIOUX FALLS, SD | 1 | $26 |
| RITTER, WILLIAM | RETIRED Β· RETIRED | BEAVERCREEK, OH | 1 | $25 |
| MARYAN, SUSAN | RETIRED Β· RETIRED | BLANCHARD, OK | 1 | $25 |
| KEISER, JAMES | RETIRED Β· RETIRED | LORAIN, OH | 1 | $25 |
| KRAEMER, ALAN | RETIRED Β· RETIRED | WICKENBURG, AZ | 1 | $25 |
| RUDY, SALLY W. | RETIRED Β· RETIRED | TROY, OH | 1 | $25 |
| NEISLER, WILLIAM | NEISLER ACCOUNTING Β· ACCOUNTANT | VIRGINIA BEACH, VA | 1 | $25 |
| MOOTZ, PAUL | RETIRED Β· RETIRED | HOLLYWOOD, FL | 1 | $25 |
| HAMMER, LAVERNE | RETIRED Β· RETIRED | BONITA SPRINGS, FL | 1 | $25 |
| HENNEY, MARTHA | 100 GREAT MEADOW ROAD ASSOCIATES Β· REAL ESTATE MANAGER | CROMWELL, CT | 1 | $25 |
| BULGER, JOSEPH | RETIRED Β· RETIRED | BROOKLYN, NY | 1 | $25 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (100)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | LF PAC | contributed_to | $1,376 | pas2 | |
| β | LF PAC | contributed_to | $43,109 | pas2 | |
| β | LF PAC | contributed_to | $28,383 | pas2 | |
| β | LF PAC | contributed_to | $7,488 | pas2 | |
| β | LF PAC | contributed_to | $1,376 | pas2 | |
| β | LF PAC | contributed_to | $3,985 | pas2 | |
| β | LF PAC | contributed_to | $11,700 | pas2 | |
| β | LF PAC | contributed_to | $43,137 | pas2 | |
| β | LF PAC | contributed_to | $5,071 | pas2 | |
| β | LF PAC | contributed_to | $18,582 | pas2 | |
| β | LF PAC | contributed_to | $25,075 | pas2 | |
| β | LF PAC | contributed_to | $11,700 | pas2 | |
| β | LF PAC | contributed_to | $24,858 | pas2 | |
| β | PROTECT OHIO VALUES PAC (POV PAC) | contributed_to | $799,455 | pas2 | |
| β | SAVE AMERICA PAC | contributed_to | $44,176 | pas2 | |
| β | SAVE AMERICA PAC | contributed_to | $40,000 | pas2 | |
| β | SAVE AMERICA PAC | contributed_to | $50,000 | pas2 | |
| β | LF PAC | contributed_to | $13,920 | pas2 | |
| β | WELCOMEPAC | opposes_independently | $50,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | WELCOMEPAC | opposes_independently | $10 | fec_ies | |
| β | WELCOMEPAC | opposes_independently | $13,900 | fec_ies | |
| β | WELCOMEPAC | opposes_independently | $15 | fec_ies | |
| β | WELCOMEPAC | opposes_independently | $4,918 | fec_ies | |
| β | WELCOMEPAC | opposes_independently | $4,479 | fec_ies | |
| β | THE LINCOLN PROJECT | opposes_independently | $7,050 | fec_ies | |
| β | THE LINCOLN PROJECT | opposes_independently | $10,975 | fec_ies | |
| β | THE LINCOLN PROJECT | opposes_independently | $15,025 | fec_ies | |
| β | THE LINCOLN PROJECT | opposes_independently | $1,500 | fec_ies | |
| β | THE PEOPLE, EMPOWERED | supports_independently | $1,250 | fec_ies | |
| β | THE PEOPLE, EMPOWERED | supports_independently | $125 | fec_ies | |
| β | THE PEOPLE, EMPOWERED | supports_independently | $270 | fec_ies | |
| β | THE PEOPLE, EMPOWERED | supports_independently | $270 | fec_ies | |
| β | THE PEOPLE, EMPOWERED | supports_independently | $1,250 | fec_ies | |
| β | THE PEOPLE, EMPOWERED | supports_independently | $270 | fec_ies | |
| β | THE PEOPLE, EMPOWERED | supports_independently | $1,250 | fec_ies | |
| β | THE PEOPLE, EMPOWERED | supports_independently | $270 | fec_ies | |
| β | THE PEOPLE, EMPOWERED | supports_independently | $1,250 | fec_ies | |
| β | THE PEOPLE, EMPOWERED | supports_independently | $1,250 | fec_ies | |
| β | THE PEOPLE, EMPOWERED | supports_independently | $1,250 | fec_ies | |
| β | THE PEOPLE, EMPOWERED | supports_independently | $270 | fec_ies | |
| β | SAVE AMERICA PAC | opposes_independently | $772 | fec_ies | |
| β | SAVE AMERICA PAC | opposes_independently | $50,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | SAVE AMERICA PAC | opposes_independently | $787 | fec_ies | |
| β | SAVE AMERICA PAC | opposes_independently | $739 | fec_ies | |
| β | SAVE AMERICA PAC | opposes_independently | $44,176 | fec_ies | |
| β | SAVE AMERICA PAC | opposes_independently | $40,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | LF PAC | opposes_independently | $16,510 | fec_ies | |
| β | LF PAC | opposes_independently | $25,093 | fec_ies | |
| β | LF PAC | opposes_independently | $28,454 | fec_ies | |
| β | LF PAC | opposes_independently | $11,700 | fec_ies | |
| β | LF PAC | opposes_independently | $1,376 | fec_ies | |
| β | LF PAC | opposes_independently | $18,582 | fec_ies | |
| β | LF PAC | opposes_independently | $1,826 | fec_ies | |
| β | LF PAC | opposes_independently | $13,662 | fec_ies | |
| β | LF PAC | opposes_independently | $11,700 | fec_ies | |
| β | LF PAC | opposes_independently | $43,290 | fec_ies | |
| β | LF PAC | opposes_independently | $16,438 | fec_ies | |
| β | LF PAC | opposes_independently | $1,800 | fec_ies | |
| β | LF PAC | opposes_independently | $24,858 | fec_ies | |
| β | LF PAC | opposes_independently | $1,376 | fec_ies | |
| β | LF PAC | opposes_independently | $1,834 | fec_ies | |
| β | LF PAC | opposes_independently | $7,488 | fec_ies | |
| β | LF PAC | opposes_independently | $5,093 | fec_ies | |
| β | LF PAC | opposes_independently | $43,290 | fec_ies | |
| β | LF PAC | opposes_independently | $110,062 | fec_ies | |
| β | LF PAC | opposes_independently | $3,994 | fec_ies | |
| β | PROTECT OHIO VALUES PAC (POV PAC) | supports_independently | $10,211 | fec_ies | |
| β | PROTECT OHIO VALUES PAC (POV PAC) | supports_independently | $50,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | PROTECT OHIO VALUES PAC (POV PAC) | supports_independently | $14,750 | fec_ies | |
| β | PROTECT OHIO VALUES PAC (POV PAC) | supports_independently | $799,455 | fec_ies | |
| β | NATIONAL RIGHT TO LIFE VICTORY FUND | supports_independently | $2,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | FF PAC | opposes_independently | $703,135 | fec_ies | |
| β | FF PAC | opposes_independently | $709,012 | fec_ies | |
| β | FF PAC | opposes_independently | $17,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | FF PAC | opposes_independently | $709,012 | fec_ies | |
| β | FF PAC | opposes_independently | $15,173 | fec_ies | |
| β | FF PAC | opposes_independently | $714,412 | fec_ies | |
| β | AFFORDABLE ENERGY FUND PAC | supports_independently | $223,879 | fec_ies | |
| 2025-12-31 | THE PETER NORBECK LEADERSHIP PAC | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-12-24 | MR PAC | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-12-23 | THE HAWKEYE FUND | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-12-23 | COMMON SENSE FOR AMERICA PAC | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-12-21 | LEADERSHIP AND ACCOUNTABILITY ARE NATIONAL KEYS PAC | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-12-18 | PENNSYLVANIA HONOR | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-12-18 | CONSERVATIVES HARVESTING SUCCESS PAC | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-12-18 | CONSERVATIVES HARVESTING SUCCESS PAC | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-12-18 | TRUE NORTH PAC | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-12-18 | SENATE EAGLE PAC | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-12-18 | TOMORROW IS MEANINGFUL PAC | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-12-17 | ALABAMA FIRST PAC | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-12-17 | FIGHT ON PAC | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-01-14 | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | contributed_to | $0 | pas2 | |
| 2025-01-14 | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | supports_independently | $0 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-11-05 | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | supports_independently | $12 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-11-01 | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | supports_independently | $85 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-29 | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | supports_independently | $18 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-23 | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | supports_independently | $6 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-18 | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | supports_independently | $19 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-15 | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | supports_independently | $12 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-09 | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | supports_independently | $17 | fec_ies |