HARPER, MORGAN
D Β· senate
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- FEC candidate id
S2OH00469- Internal id
ca203ccf-f349-44b0-81d8-cb80fe814258- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents (statewide)
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Ohio. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 11,810,293 |
| People | Median age | 40 |
| Income | Median household income | $71,389 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $40,552 |
| Income | In poverty | 13.3% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.8% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.467 |
| Race | White alone | 76.8% |
| Race | Black alone | 12.2% |
| Race | Asian alone | 2.6% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 4.8% |
| Race | Two or more races | 6.5% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 5.2% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 92.0% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 2.6% |
| Education | High school or higher | 63.6% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 31.5% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 12.2% |
| Household | Family households | 61.2% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.37 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 33.6% |
| Housing | Median home value | $214,800 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,034 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 68.8% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 5.6% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.5% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 8.1% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 6.6% |
| Health | With a disability | 14.4% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 90.1% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 7.4% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 75.1% |
| Commute | Public transit | 1.0% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 13.0% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $0 | $5,888 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2022 | $1,318,601 | $1,312,714 | $5,888 | $0 | $1,302,887 |
Elections
- 2022 general senate Β· OH-S β lost_general
- 2022 general senate Β· OH-S β lost_general
- 2022 general senate Β· OH-S β lost_general
- 2022 general senate Β· OH-S β lost_general
- 2022 general senate Β· OH-S β lost_general
- 2022 general senate Β· OH-S β lost_general
Committees
- MORGAN HARPER FOR OHIO β principal Β· type S
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 18.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
| senate race | -2.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-04-23 | THE PEOPLE UNITED PAC | 24E | $150 |
| 2022-04-07 | THE PEOPLE UNITED PAC | 24E | $150 |
| 2022-04-01 | THE PEOPLE UNITED PAC | 24E | $15 |
| 2022-03-31 | THE PEOPLE UNITED PAC | 24E | $30 |
| 2022-03-24 | WE HAVE THE PEOPLE PAC | 24K | $1,000 |
| 2022-03-19 | IRON PAC | 24Z | $75 |
| 2022-02-18 | THE PEOPLE UNITED PAC | 24E | $75 |
| 2022-02-02 | ELECT BLACK WOMEN PAC | 24K | $1,000 |
| 2022-02-01 | IRON PAC | 24Z | $75 |
| 2022-01-27 | THE PEOPLE UNITED PAC | 24E | $150 |
| 2022-01-18 | SOUTHPAW PAC | 24K | $1,000 |
| 2022-01-17 | THE PEOPLE UNITED PAC | 24E | $30 |
| 2021-12-14 | THE COLLECTIVE PAC | 24K | $4,000 |
| 2021-09-30 | PROGRESSIVE CHANGE CAMPAIGN COMMITTEE | 24Z | $274 |
| 2021-08-31 | THE PEOPLE UNITED PAC | 24E | $50 |
| 2021-08-20 | THE PEOPLE UNITED PAC | 24E | $50 |
| 2021-08-18 | THE PEOPLE UNITED PAC | 24E | $50 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (17)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-04-23 | THE PEOPLE UNITED PAC | contributed_to | $150 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-07 | THE PEOPLE UNITED PAC | contributed_to | $150 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-01 | THE PEOPLE UNITED PAC | contributed_to | $15 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-31 | THE PEOPLE UNITED PAC | contributed_to | $30 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-24 | WE HAVE THE PEOPLE PAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-19 | IRON PAC | contributed_to | $75 | pas2 | |
| 2022-02-18 | THE PEOPLE UNITED PAC | contributed_to | $75 | pas2 | |
| 2022-02-02 | ELECT BLACK WOMEN PAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-02-01 | IRON PAC | contributed_to | $75 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-27 | THE PEOPLE UNITED PAC | contributed_to | $150 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-18 | SOUTHPAW PAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-17 | THE PEOPLE UNITED PAC | contributed_to | $30 | pas2 | |
| 2021-12-14 | THE COLLECTIVE PAC | contributed_to | $4,000 | pas2 | |
| 2021-09-30 | PROGRESSIVE CHANGE CAMPAIGN COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $274 | pas2 | |
| 2021-08-31 | THE PEOPLE UNITED PAC | contributed_to | $50 | pas2 | |
| 2021-08-20 | THE PEOPLE UNITED PAC | contributed_to | $50 | pas2 | |
| 2021-08-18 | THE PEOPLE UNITED PAC | contributed_to | $50 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | MORGAN HARPER FOR OHIO | β | candidate_committees |