LAHMEYER, JACKSON RHODES

R · senate

FEC candidate id: S2OK00111
Internal id: aba7ae7c-115f-44b7-a8d1-feda35be2f99
Status: challenger

Who this candidate represents (statewide)

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Oklahoma. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	4,028,634
People	Median age	37
Income	Median household income	$65,039
Income	Per-capita income	$35,624
Income	In poverty	15.3%
Income	Unemployed	4.9%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.467
Race	White alone	65.2%
Race	Black alone	7.0%
Race	Asian alone	2.4%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	12.7%
Race	Two or more races	14.3%
Origin	Foreign-born	6.4%
Language	Speaks English only at home	88.5%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	8.1%
Education	High school or higher	59.0%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	28.4%
Education	Advanced degree	9.9%
Household	Family households	64.3%
Household	Avg household size	2.50
Household	Never married (15+)	30.7%
Housing	Median home value	$199,800
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,014
Housing	Single-family detached	72.7%
Housing	Built before 1940	4.8%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	2.9%
Housing	Vacant units	12.0%
Service	Veterans (18+)	7.9%
Health	With a disability	17.2%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	88.9%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	8.4%
Commute	Drove alone	77.5%
Commute	Public transit	0.3%
Commute	Worked from home	9.4%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2022	$986,242	$986,242	$0	$0	$897,550

Elections

2022 general senate · OK-S — running
2022 general senate · OK-S — lost_general
2022 general senate · OK-S — lost_general
2022 general senate · OK-S — lost_general
2022 general senate · OK-S — lost_general
2022 general senate · OK-S — lost_general

Committees

LAHMEYER FOR SENATE INC. — principal · type S

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 23.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
R (major party)	+10.0%
senate race	-2.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

Cycle	Support	Oppose	IEs
2022	$33,394	$0	3

Recent (latest 25)

Date	Spender	For / against	Amount	Purpose
2022-06-27	DRAIN THE DC SWAMP PAC	support	$12,194	Text Messaging Services
2022-06-23	PRESERVE OUR RIGHTS PAC	support	$1,500	Digital Ads
2022-06-23	PRESERVE OUR RIGHTS PAC	support	$19,700	Radio Ads

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2022-06-27	DRAIN THE DC SWAMP PAC	24E	$12,194
2022-06-23	PRESERVE OUR RIGHTS PAC	24E	$1,500
2022-06-23	PRESERVE OUR RIGHTS PAC	24E	$19,700
2022-05-19	WINRED	24K	$-100
2022-05-05	PRESERVE OUR RIGHTS PAC	24E	$23,292
2022-04-05	PRESERVE OUR RIGHTS PAC	24E	$23,292
2022-03-21	KEEP ELECTING NEW TALENT PAC	24K	$2,000
2022-02-14	WINRED	24K	$-10
2021-11-30	WINRED	24K	$-30
2021-11-04	WINRED	24K	$-1,000
2021-11-03	WINRED	24K	$-25
2021-10-28	WINRED	24K	$-2,900
2021-09-17	WINRED	24K	$-20
2021-06-28	FRIENDS OF LEON BENJAMIN, INC.	24K	$100

Connected on the graph

Inbound (17)

date	from	type	amount	source
2022-06-27	DRAIN THE DC SWAMP PAC	supports_independently	$12,194	fec_ies
2022-06-27	DRAIN THE DC SWAMP PAC	contributed_to	$12,194	pas2
2022-06-23	PRESERVE OUR RIGHTS PAC	supports_independently	$1,500	fec_ies
2022-06-23	PRESERVE OUR RIGHTS PAC	supports_independently	$19,700	fec_ies
2022-06-23	PRESERVE OUR RIGHTS PAC	contributed_to	$19,700	pas2
2022-06-23	PRESERVE OUR RIGHTS PAC	contributed_to	$1,500	pas2
2022-05-19	WINRED	contributed_to	$-100	pas2
2022-05-05	PRESERVE OUR RIGHTS PAC	contributed_to	$23,292	pas2
2022-04-05	PRESERVE OUR RIGHTS PAC	contributed_to	$23,292	pas2
2022-03-21	KEEP ELECTING NEW TALENT PAC	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-02-14	WINRED	contributed_to	$-10	pas2
2021-11-30	WINRED	contributed_to	$-30	pas2
2021-11-04	WINRED	contributed_to	$-1,000	pas2
2021-11-03	WINRED	contributed_to	$-25	pas2
2021-10-28	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2,900	pas2
2021-09-17	WINRED	contributed_to	$-20	pas2
2021-06-28	FRIENDS OF LEON BENJAMIN, INC.	contributed_to	$100	pas2

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	LAHMEYER FOR SENATE INC.	—		candidate_committees

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